Music · resolved market
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab84c310f12689853f80df84928fa0dbb872f406c01cb5e64609d74e65d18db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 23c | 1,643$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 76c | 1,563$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,136$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 18c | 1,020$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Yes | 73c | 999.96$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 20c | 946.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 24c | 929.4$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 76c | 908.66$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…0447backed Yes | 77c | 895$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 75c | 882.29$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 20c | 876.38$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.32 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 77c | 848$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 24c | 779$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed No | 24c | 734$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked No | 24c | 710$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 27c | 697.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.7 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…6bbebacked Yes | 76c | 660$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 23c | 614$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 78c | 603.69$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 28c | 594$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed No | 24c | 587$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 76c | 587$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked No | 23c | 579$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked No | 25c | 551$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed Yes | 75c | 551$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 23c | 550$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 25c | 541.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 80c | 531.99$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 77c | 454$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 74c | 404.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 77c | 401$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed No | 25c | 398.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 19c | 396$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 27c | 391.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 22c | 364.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 23c | 356.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 21c | 353.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 19c | 341.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…48b8backed No | 34c | 285$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 77c | 274$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 23c | 263.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 22c | 253.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 21c | 245.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…4536backed No | 26c | 232.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 14c | 228.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 17c | 224.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…592fbacked No | 23c | 217.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 24c | 217.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed No | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked No | 24c | 206.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked No | 25c | 201.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…78ffbacked No | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 23c | 192$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 23c | 187$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 23c | 169$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…608bbacked Yes | 77c | 154.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed Yes | 77c | 147$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…30a9backed No | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 75c | 141$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 23c | 135.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…b0a7backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…9e7cbacked Yes | 76c | 132.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 19c | 131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 19c | 128.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 27c | 128.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked No | 25c | 121.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 70c | 116.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed No | 25c | 110.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed No | 18c | 109.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…61f4backed No | 18c | 108.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Yes | 73c | 102.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…611abacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 27c | 97.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…bdb9backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed No | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed No | 23c | 89.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked No | 22c | 86.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed No | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…4e7abacked No | 34c | 82.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…e8a4backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +871.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…4dc9backed No | 28c | 71.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 24c | 68.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 75c | 67.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…9cbabacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed No | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed No | 20c | 59.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.