Music · resolved market
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea44a87d520f7ceb5683b33f515c9cf69acd9f9a707afc615c3bb0758cc6df6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4b3…a093backed Yes | 22c | 8,840$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,895.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…12f5backed No | 78c | 8,840$6,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 13c | 7,518$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.18 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 18c | 5,513$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.89 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 14c | 5,328$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.77 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 22c | 4,347$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.3 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 74c | 3,247$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 22c | 2,933$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 75c | 2,358$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.21 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 26c | 2,332$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.3 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 23c | 2,325$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 68c | 2,166$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked No | 15c | 1,676$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…5b28backed No | 20c | 1,585$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 12c | 1,497$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 59c | 1,212$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 26c | 1,200$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 62c | 1,162$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 62c | 1,118$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,115$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 23c | 1,080$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed Yes | 69c | 1,059$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked No | 12c | 1,027$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 17c | 1,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed No | 16c | 999.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed Yes | 70c | 968$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 30c | 968$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 16c | 935.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes | 71c | 912$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b63…52cfbacked No | 29c | 912$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96aa…c145backed No | 13c | 899.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…d584backed No | 32c | 839$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed No | 32c | 820$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 32c | 810$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 41c | 805$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 18c | 804.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 38c | 781$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed No | 41c | 774$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed No | 38c | 771$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed No | 31c | 760$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 41c | 748$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed No | 38c | 728$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 17c | 700.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 631.5$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 76c | 608.45$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 12c | 585.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…4940backed No | 14c | 538.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +114%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 17c | 478.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…c4babacked No | 14c | 426$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 72c | 412.98$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked No | 12c | 412.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 26c | 400.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 24c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…b0a7backed No | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed Yes | 68c | 303$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 31c | 299$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…11babacked Yes | 69c | 287.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +424.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Yes | 79c | 254.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 66c | 241.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c524backed No | 14c | 238.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…611abacked No | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 28c | 228.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked No | 14c | 219.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 77c | 219$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…fc31backed No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 12c | 202.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…615abacked No | 14c | 190.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 77c | 190.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…12dabacked Yes | 77c | 178.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 26c | 175.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 16c | 165.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 77c | 157$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 80c | 143.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 14c | 142.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 24c | 130.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 79c | 129$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 21c | 126.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 28c | 124.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked No | 16c | 113.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 62c | 100.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 78c | 100.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 16c | 99.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 23c | 95.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 14c | 89.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 16c | 87.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed No | 16c | 80.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…20b4backed No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c9…cf31backed No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.