Music · resolved market
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3234d40ce57ce50bd7655931efb5f437fe920e287a1e0f6a48ea45d00e13c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 41c | 13,568$5,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,560.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 5,812$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.42 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked Yes | 66c | 5,625$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 76c | 4,206$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 30c | 3,684$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.91 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 3,476$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.27 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 79c | 3,331$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.73 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Yes | 63c | 2,636$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed Yes | 63c | 2,348$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 45c | 2,340$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 38c | 2,292$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.84 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 19c | 2,106$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 34c | 1,750$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 19c | 1,503$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85e…f495backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed No | 19c | 1,453$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed No | 19c | 1,438$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 57c | 1,332$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 73c | 1,275$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 31c | 1,195$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 67c | 1,185$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 23c | 1,176$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 31c | 1,063$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.02 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 53c | 1,041$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 19c | 1,036$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked No | 19c | 992$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked No | 27c | 942$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…30a9backed No | 24c | 938.54$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked No | 26c | 919$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…c1b3backed No | 36c | 912.96$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 63c | 907.3$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 20c | 890.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.14 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed Yes | 59c | 872.48$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 74c | 806$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes | 56c | 788.64$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked No | 24c | 785.44$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Yes | 64c | 775.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 32c | 690.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked No | 36c | 678$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 73c | 665$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 28c | 635.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed Yes | 61c | 630.37$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 79c | 625.54$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 24c | 600$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 40c | 597.74$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 39c | 558.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 73c | 522$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 27c | 520$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 13c | 499.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 52c | 480.45$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.62 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…39babacked No | 46c | 429.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 36c | 415.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 6c | 405.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 19c | 398.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 43c | 365.37$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 19c | 325$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…773dbacked Yes | 65c | 315.36$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.60per pick | 28cpaid | +784.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed No | 14c | 310$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 35c | 309.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b6ecbacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 24c | 303.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 35c | 301.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…ca4dbacked No | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…7454backed Yes | 78c | 290$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 29c | 285.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 51c | 272.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 24c | 270$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…220fbacked Yes | 66c | 268.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Yes | 75c | 265.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 75c | 259.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked No | 39c | 233$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 17c | 228.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…25a4backed Yes | 79c | 227.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 14c | 199.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked No | 31c | 182.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 36c | 176.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed No | 23c | 172.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 66c | 166.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…9404backed No | 36c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 29c | 153$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 13c | 149.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 35c | 146.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked No | 45c | 146.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed Yes | 69c | 145.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…6bbebacked Yes | 67c | 144.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +185.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Yes | 68c | 140.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…aaaabacked Yes | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…bdb9backed No | 36c | 139.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…c8d8backed Yes | 79c | 138.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.