Music · resolved market
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839e37bb1814ba925b93dc903b74d75de2df755eba5068d8bb72b7001bc75b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 33c | 8,101$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.01 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 68c | 5,359$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.42 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 29c | 1,669$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.4 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 16c | 1,646$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 18c | 1,617$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…db83backed Yes | 67c | 1,541$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 18c | 1,287$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 11c | 1,191$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 67c | 1,182$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed No | 33c | 1,063$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 11c | 1,059$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 21c | 1,033$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.22 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked No | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 35c | 998$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…469fbacked Yes | 60c | 981$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked No | 40c | 981$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed No | 33c | 968$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 67c | 924$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…0068backed Yes | 77c | 881.07$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 60cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 13c | 837.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 67c | 822$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 17c | 750$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 33c | 727$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 33c | 714$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 67c | 707$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +172%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…4cf6backed No | 33c | 695$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 17c | 666$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed No | 33c | 665$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 67c | 662$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 67c | 662$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 67c | 580$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 579.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed No | 33c | 568$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 33c | 543$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 33c | 522$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 33c | 502$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 37c | 501$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes | 63c | 478.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…fc69backed Yes | 63c | 446$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 37c | 446$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 22c | 410.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…78ffbacked No | 10c | 389.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 63c | 356$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 69c | 345.61$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…1f15backed Yes | 63c | 326$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…221abacked Yes | 62c | 323.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 16c | 321.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 16c | 314.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 32c | 311.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 15c | 311$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 63c | 305$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 18c | 294.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 67c | 289$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed No | 15c | 264$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed Yes | 61c | 261.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed No | 14c | 249.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 17c | 248.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 62c | 239.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 19c | 220.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 23c | 210$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed Yes | 77c | 208.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…611abacked No | 15c | 204.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 19c | 184.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 19c | 179.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 64c | 168.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 35c | 155.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 74c | 153$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc6…20b4backed No | 13c | 152.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 67c | 152.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 13c | 149.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 64c | 137$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked No | 15c | 133.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…d5f8backed No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 15c | 131.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed No | 17c | 120.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…35c1backed Yes | 75c | 119.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 62c | 118$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 38c | 118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 17c | 108.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 108.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…c524backed No | 14c | 102.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…578fbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…aaaabacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 27c | 93.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.