Music · resolved market
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf948ce3e0e967da64d87f8226c24ef7d824e75c651b4ce2d136ebfdaaa0dd938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 29c | 7,979$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.91 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 26c | 3,417$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.29 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 72c | 2,381$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 72c | 2,337$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.7 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 79c | 1,943$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,943$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 36c | 1,883$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 24c | 1,882$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.19 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 1,795$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 77c | 1,746$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 23c | 1,716$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 64c | 1,530$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,319$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 74c | 1,284$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.67 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 21c | 1,267$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 75c | 1,252$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 33c | 1,169$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 51c | 988.8$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…b793backed Yes | 30c | 950.44$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 64c | 949$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 64c | 934$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 64c | 921$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aec…fdafbacked No | 64c | 875$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 23c | 870.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.35 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 26c | 858.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 49c | 846$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…98d7backed Yes | 35c | 833.37$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 36c | 766$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 36c | 764$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 75c | 752$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed No | 68c | 738.69$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 63c | 731$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 70c | 692.35$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 48c | 692.05$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.71 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed No | 74c | 671.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 64c | 668$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…7fd9backed Yes | 36c | 624$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 36c | 608$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked No | 64c | 601$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 36c | 564$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 26c | 526.66$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 38c | 524.83$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 63c | 521.69$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…6696backed No | 79c | 509.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08e…c7e9backed No | 70c | 481.28$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 75c | 457.1$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 36c | 452.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 23c | 444$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked No | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…f3a3backed No | 73c | 413.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…84f3backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b6ecbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 69c | 349.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 32c | 346.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…d12fbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 28c | 289.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 60c | 286.34$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 46c | 272.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 68c | 269.98$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes | 37c | 257$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 31c | 245.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 29c | 244.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 37c | 234$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f4a2backed No | 72c | 227.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 21c | 223.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 25c | 213.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…2bc6backed Yes | 24c | 208.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 50c | 203$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…3c52backed Yes | 28c | 199.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…592fbacked Yes | 36c | 191.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 70c | 185.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed No | 71c | 182.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 21c | 177.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 174.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Yes | 25c | 158.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 21c | 153.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 36c | 153$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c28…ba30backed Yes | 25c | 152.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 64c | 152$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed No | 56c | 150.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 36c | 149$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 27c | 140.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…75e7backed Yes | 31c | 137$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…41bebacked No | 73c | 135.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.