Music · resolved market
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9161813effe6f3eaac52aecdb28416f3e7c90b8c60cd41917dcfcd757c3a727d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 76c | 9,835$7,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 24c | 9,635$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 42c | 3,875$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.01 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 35c | 2,277$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.02 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…5c5cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,649$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 1,593$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 64c | 1,584$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.92 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 77c | 1,133$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 39c | 1,111$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.29 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 32c | 1,092$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.73 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 38c | 1,076$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…7dc8backed Yes | 68c | 900$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 72c | 766.9$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 68c | 700.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 63c | 700.29$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.72 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 33c | 688.65$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.71 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 38c | 669$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.72 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 24c | 615.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 32c | 612.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 19c | 566.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…f3a3backed Yes | 59c | 505.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 62c | 500.04$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 75c | 500.02$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed No | 37c | 499.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 26c | 490.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 22c | 465.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…60c2backed Yes | 65c | 460.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed No | 34c | 430$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked No | 25c | 401.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…bf08backed Yes | 76c | 398.92$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…0ac6backed Yes | 65c | 360.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 31c | 357.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 37c | 346.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 22c | 334.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…063ebacked No | 39c | 306.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…4e45backed Yes | 67c | 259.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 21c | 247.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed Yes | 63c | 245.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1,421.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked No | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…b0a7backed Yes | 66c | 227.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 20c | 218$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 35c | 210.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 79c | 206.9$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 198.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…6134backed Yes | 68c | 160.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 31c | 156.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…164bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…fab9backed Yes | 68c | 155.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…4b5fbacked Yes | 58c | 154.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 26c | 153.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed No | 33c | 150.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…1472backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 35c | 139.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 62c | 136.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 25c | 131.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e90…1df3backed Yes | 79c | 130$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 78c | 122.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 62c | 119.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 61c | 102.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb33c…6634backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 36c | 99.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed No | 30c | 93.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 15c | 80.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…4dc9backed No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked No | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 60c | 75.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf364…7d5ebacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 27c | 73.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…b39bbacked Yes | 58c | 72.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked No | 40c | 66.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…6f4abacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 21c | 64.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed No | 24c | 57.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…611abacked No | 36c | 56.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…eca6backed No | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…261ebacked Yes | 65c | 54.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…5b6fbacked No | 28c | 52.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 22c | 51.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 50.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 32c | 48.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.