TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f50…1701

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT9656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegulabacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$27.8
ITF M15 Warsaw Men: Robert Strombachs vs Leonardo Rossibacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Cincinnati Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Todi: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Francesco Passarobacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.49
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
ITF Bielsko Biala: Vladyslav Orlov vs Marcel Zielinskibacked Marcel Zielinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$22.1
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$28.44
ITF Koksijde: Martha Matoula vs Noemi Basilettibacked Martha Matoula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
ITF Fano: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Stefano D'agostinobacked Stefano D'agostino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
National Bank Open: Renata Zarazua vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
ITF Koksijde: Briana Szabo vs Anastasia Zolotarevabacked Briana Szabo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$19.83
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$8.56
Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+193.2%+$20.38
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.55
Warsaw: Laura Samson vs Mona Barthelbacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$28.05
Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+183.2%+$42.05
Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannovabacked Marcelina Podlinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Warsaw: Elsa Jacquemot vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Carol Young Suh Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.18
Warsaw: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Viktoria Hruncakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.1
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$56
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+103.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$149.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$38.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.