Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bielsko Biala: Vladyslav Orlov vs Marcel Zielinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0b29b5d886c367478efceb05fae8ec4ea2e6102b9199a340485477d60ca823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcel Zielinskiof Vladyslav Orlov, Marcel Zielinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8853…c058backed Vladyslav Orlov | 55c | 5,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marcel Zielinski | 53c | 2,322$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…0a7ebacked Marcel Zielinski | 62c | 2,089$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Marcel Zielinski | 63c | 805.38$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Vladyslav Orlov | 32c | 683.83$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Marcel Zielinski | 55c | 366.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Marcel Zielinski | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Marcel Zielinski | 60c | 268.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Vladyslav Orlov | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Marcel Zielinski | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 69 | 76.8%53 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Marcel Zielinski | 55c | 123.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 65c | 116.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marcel Zielinski | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Marcel Zielinski | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Marcel Zielinski | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Marcel Zielinski | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Marcel Zielinski | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Marcel Zielinski | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Marcel Zielinski | 72c | 75.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Marcel Zielinski | 60c | 73.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Marcel Zielinski | 66c | 73.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vladyslav Orlov | 37c | 71.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Marcel Zielinski | 53c | 70.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marcel Zielinski | 56c | 56.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…9d00backed Marcel Zielinski | 66c | 53.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Marcel Zielinski | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marcel Zielinski | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…b0efbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Marcel Zielinski | 72c | 47.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Marcel Zielinski | 76c | 44.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed Vladyslav Orlov | 52c | 44.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…2ca2backed Vladyslav Orlov | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Marcel Zielinski | 54c | 37.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…ae82backed Vladyslav Orlov | 33c | 36.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Marcel Zielinski | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Marcel Zielinski | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Marcel Zielinski | 65c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Marcel Zielinski | 66c | 21.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 20.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Marcel Zielinski | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Bielsko Biala: Vladyslav Orlov vs Marcel Zielinskithis page
- ITF Men Bielsko Biala: Completed Match: Vladyslav Orlov vs Marcel ZielinskiYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.