Music · resolved market
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdcba849da5d77081dc0a45ec2950407903b7d4753b367646876b7cb74585c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 20c | 15,025$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.76 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 18c | 6,390$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.39 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 21c | 3,722$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 20c | 3,721$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…cfadbacked No | 25c | 2,850$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 20c | 2,656$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.32 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 20c | 2,561$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 19c | 2,096$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.41 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed Yes | 76c | 1,169$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 18c | 1,117$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 74c | 1,033$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 80c | 980.02$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 74c | 913.6$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed No | 24c | 764$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed No | 24c | 734$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed No | 20c | 700.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed No | 15c | 674.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 18c | 670$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 13c | 665.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 18c | 664$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 18c | 651$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 17c | 566.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…aa1abacked Yes | 76c | 554$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…589ebacked No | 24c | 550$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 24c | 544$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 76c | 540$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 28c | 511.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 78c | 472.08$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 53c | 467.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.06 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 79c | 421.74$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 79c | 378.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…53a1backed No | 19c | 372.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 14c | 350$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 18c | 347$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…a8aabacked Yes | 76c | 329$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 15c | 310.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked No | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 15c | 281.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed No | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 78c | 231.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 16c | 203.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 21c | 178.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 23c | 176.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…4b5fbacked Yes | 79c | 172.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Yes | 79c | 166.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 80c | 161.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked No | 27c | 157$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 19c | 146.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 23c | 145$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad4…39fdbacked Yes | 70c | 143.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…fab9backed Yes | 80c | 139.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 38c | 133.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed No | 15c | 132.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…a8c9backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 19c | 123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 80c | 111$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed No | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…ffabbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…ac41backed No | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 21c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…dfa0backed No | 18c | 76.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a4…77f0backed No | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 78c | 73.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…b09fbacked Yes | 80c | 68.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 20c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 25c | 59.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 44.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5267…378dbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…4fb7backed Yes | 79c | 31.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…4563backed Yes | 78c | 29.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Yes | 80c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…4f6cbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…8cffbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.