Music · resolved market

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06801fc6a06e160b3d49d3191f50f18d070ca2f3f117d329af435fd72958493

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,447 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Music
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x94c4…43cabacked No	64c	15,355$9,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,494.61	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes	36c	8,947$3,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,221.03	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+205.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes	43c	1,552$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.83	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	37c	1,282$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.35	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes	33c	1,066$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.91	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6007…9553backed No	34c	1,058$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cb…933ebacked No	34c	1,037$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.42	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+100%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	33c	1,013$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.6	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…8919backed Yes	53c	873$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5481…50ecbacked No	47c	873$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No	63c	821.86$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.89	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa440…a487backed No	38c	726.62$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.25	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+72%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes	66c	712$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad8…9756backed Yes	66c	711$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.26	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.26per pick	41cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes	66c	672$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.52	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	39c	520.86$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.37	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	36c	464.22$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.12	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	+345.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	41c	400$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.77	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	42c	338.63$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.22	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes	34c	314.71$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.76	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	66c	300$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.97	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	36c	299.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.99	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes	38c	298.26$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.72	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No	46c	283.6$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.01	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes	41c	276.15$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes	40c	260$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4b…1fb3backed No	60c	260$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes	36c	247.37$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.08	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked No	63c	242.15$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.56	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	42c	214.19$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.29	229	27.9%64 W · 165 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No	57c	200$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96aa…c145backed Yes	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	52c	194.65$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.8	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No	52c	190.49$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.82	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes	42c	157.14$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.51	69	26.1%18 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+136.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9297…0068backed Yes	66c	152.45$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-3.8wins	-0.47per pick	60cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4382…c9e7backed No	67c	149.48$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	75cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa525…1e7bbacked No	63c	134.62$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.79	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.18per pick	37cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f6f…b20fbacked Yes	56c	133.93$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	31c	128.83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.46	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…5495backed Yes	44c	125.05$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.42	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Yes	57c	123.14$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.54	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed Yes	56c	121.53$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf968…84bdbacked No	34c	121$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.86	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes	53c	110$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.3	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x186c…11cebacked No	52c	110$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.8	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No	57c	104.05$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.21	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x408e…3b33backed Yes	60c	103.15$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	33c	102.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.62	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes	51c	101.48$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.89	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+296.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	151	19.2%29 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60e…252ebacked Yes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+213.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes	36c	99.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b3…4779backed Yes	38c	92.21$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No	51c	90.52$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.14	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a5…56cbbacked No	44c	90.23$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.53	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf0d4…e175backed Yes	56c	89.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+1,421.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed No	50c	84.98$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.55	148	35.8%53 W · 95 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a5…5097backed No	48c	82.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.52	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.1	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed No	64c	78.56$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.56	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdd…da39backed Yes	51c	71.69$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+139.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed No	60c	70.38$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked No	57c	63.95$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0f…7d7dbacked No	44c	62.57$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.21	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes	48c	62.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3780…6429backed Yes	36c	59.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	28cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ef…b8a5backed Yes	19c	59.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc6…411fbacked Yes	62c	56$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	39c	53.82$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	391	16.1%63 W · 328 L	-44.4wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes	40c	50.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-54%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+92.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed No	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x056c…5066backed Yes	42c	49.52$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…809ebacked No	62c	48.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.16	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-48%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed No	64c	45$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed No	50c	44.9$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.3	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…29c3backed Yes	34c	44.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	35c	44.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	462	9.7%45 W · 417 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No	55c	41.79$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.69	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	62cpaid	+23%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf364…7d5ebacked No	74c	40.75$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	63cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14cd…81f4backed Yes	38c	40.68$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed No	47c	39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.66	47	61.7%29 W · 18 L	+7.6wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	45c	37.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Yes	36c	37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.24	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	35c	36$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.34	247	32%79 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	50c	34.48$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.19	128	35.9%46 W · 82 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa716…6911backed No	63c	31.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36e0…19b9backed No	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf948…0931backed No	54c	30.31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c74…d2d4backed Yes	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8270…30c0backed Yes	42c	29.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	41c	28.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	39cpaid	+49.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+213.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fb…72cdbacked No	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	28	75%21 W · 7 L	+5.2wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6433…5cd0backed Yes	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cb…6b58backed Yes	49c	23.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481c…9ea1backed Yes	57c	23.37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event