Music · resolved market
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca86b30dc11f32cb2e8869419d528e5a29cfc663c6c29bc25cddfd2d1891c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa440…a487backed Yes | 15c | 3,886$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.23 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 78c | 1,816$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.89 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,560$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 22c | 1,233$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…9188backed Yes | 20c | 742.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 19c | 690.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 665.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…cdf2backed Yes | 23c | 580.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 14c | 535.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked Yes | 17c | 522$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 18c | 495.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed No | 77c | 489.78$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 26c | 487.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked Yes | 11c | 466.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…8addbacked Yes | 21c | 466.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 74c | 452.94$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…3778backed Yes | 19c | 448.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 19c | 431.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 21c | 427.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 77c | 400$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…fc31backed No | 76c | 387.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 23c | 368.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 19c | 358.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 19c | 341$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 12c | 334.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed Yes | 19c | 334$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…84f3backed No | 78c | 321.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 19c | 306$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 75c | 304.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 23c | 267.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 76c | 250.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 75c | 245.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 77c | 241$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 24c | 221.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 16c | 212$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 18c | 199.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 25c | 196.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 24c | 194.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 80c | 181.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 78c | 179$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…35c1backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Yes | 26c | 159.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 77c | 159.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…3edfbacked Yes | 26c | 152.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 15c | 152$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 16c | 149.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 79c | 147.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed No | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed No | 76c | 137$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…a8c9backed Yes | 18c | 135.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…c9e7backed No | 79c | 127.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 76c | 105.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…b4d5backed Yes | 24c | 99.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 12c | 93.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…2e34backed No | 77c | 87.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…701cbacked No | 77c | 83.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 24c | 80.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…b409backed Yes | 20c | 79.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…b20fbacked Yes | 20c | 76.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0109…ecc3backed Yes | 27c | 74.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed No | 74c | 67.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked No | 76c | 65.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…d2d4backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 78c | 59.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…66efbacked No | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…4e7abacked No | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 80c | 48.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…0ac6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf364…7d5ebacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 76c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9b…1b20backed No | 79c | 37.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…c89bbacked No | 79c | 33.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa716…6911backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 80c | 25.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…6be4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 80c | 17.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…0508backed No | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…344bbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked No | 79c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.