Music · resolved market
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23aa3e82120d658df2a2f077a7a88207a5a54589c839b54651ce601a6b86a7e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 52c | 17,950$9,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,390.38 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 46c | 6,629$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.95 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 48c | 3,964$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 54c | 3,867$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.76 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 3c | 3,700$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 43c | 2,285$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.77 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 46c | 1,786$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.64 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 65c | 1,590$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed Yes | 51c | 1,476$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.31 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,193$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 1,135$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 49c | 1,073$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 62c | 1,040$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 57c | 988.71$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.06 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed No | 53c | 947.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Yes | 35c | 811$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Yes | 35c | 779$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 44c | 720.34$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…221abacked No | 61c | 652.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed No | 80c | 651.77$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed Yes | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 36c | 603.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.87 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 46c | 542.9$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…b1cdbacked No | 52c | 534.22$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 38c | 529$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 53c | 524.14$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a3…2acdbacked No | 52c | 513.22$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…af94backed No | 52c | 513.17$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Yes | 38c | 511$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2f…0d79backed No | 52c | 510.26$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…923bbacked No | 52c | 508.49$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…6bbcbacked No | 52c | 508.11$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…3eb5backed No | 52c | 507.18$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…1015backed No | 52c | 506.3$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…2ce1backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…0ef0backed No | 52c | 498.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…c252backed No | 52c | 494.53$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 51c | 478.52$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 21c | 469.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 49c | 460.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.34 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 57c | 426$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 42c | 417.04$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 55c | 381.59$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…ee1cbacked No | 51c | 345.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 55c | 299.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…4bbbbacked Yes | 47c | 293.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…0af4backed Yes | 47c | 291.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…1f4ebacked Yes | 47c | 288.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…4c51backed Yes | 47c | 285.81$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…0c95backed Yes | 47c | 285.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097b…1e30backed Yes | 47c | 277.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9c…38ffbacked Yes | 47c | 272.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…50febacked Yes | 47c | 263.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…df15backed Yes | 47c | 263.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…ef55backed Yes | 47c | 257.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7562…e71fbacked No | 53c | 244.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…d9ddbacked No | 53c | 243.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 51c | 243$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1879…df34backed No | 53c | 242.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…7529backed No | 53c | 242.06$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…95a5backed No | 53c | 239.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…d265backed No | 53c | 238.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…35a5backed No | 49c | 238.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…98fbbacked No | 53c | 238.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…4498backed No | 51c | 238.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…71a0backed No | 53c | 237.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…e06dbacked No | 53c | 237.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…8f3fbacked No | 53c | 236.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 69c | 235.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…f263backed No | 53c | 235.44$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…b420backed No | 53c | 235.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…ef02backed No | 53c | 235.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf044…6cf6backed No | 49c | 235.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…61b1backed No | 53c | 235.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…a693backed No | 53c | 235.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…1c21backed No | 53c | 235.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…5a96backed No | 54c | 234.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…351cbacked No | 53c | 234.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…ee03backed No | 53c | 234.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…3106backed No | 53c | 234.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…e62cbacked No | 54c | 234.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…3bd6backed No | 53c | 233.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…a712backed No | 54c | 233.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…4130backed No | 53c | 233.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…ca49backed No | 53c | 233.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…9977backed No | 53c | 233.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504c…6ecfbacked No | 53c | 233.61$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…739abacked No | 53c | 233.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4c…78afbacked No | 53c | 233.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…b8debacked No | 54c | 233.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…152cbacked No | 53c | 233.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…fcbebacked No | 53c | 233.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8216…501bbacked No | 54c | 233.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…ff50backed No | 53c | 233.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6652…7280backed No | 53c | 233.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f1…d2edbacked No | 53c | 233.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…ff36backed No | 53c | 233.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…969cbacked No | 53c | 233.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…bb91backed No | 53c | 233.06$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…fb69backed No | 54c | 233.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.