Music · resolved market
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97cba3a2d204986f743dc084768aa3ef5589951f68422818b7ebcd60c03f7943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 20c | 8,652$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.34 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…cdd6backed Yes | 32c | 7,880$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 75c | 7,225$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 43c | 6,049$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 59c | 4,392$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.67 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 25c | 1,779$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 53c | 1,408$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.49 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 14c | 1,195$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 17c | 1,152$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 6c | 813.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed No | 56c | 733.69$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked No | 57c | 705.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…d080backed Yes | 13c | 699.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed No | 48c | 659$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 73c | 656.5$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 80c | 630$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 56c | 585.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.27 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 58c | 518.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 14c | 400.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 38c | 390$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…0931backed No | 73c | 362.34$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed Yes | 52c | 355$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed Yes | 16c | 328$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 52c | 304$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…f1f2backed Yes | 7c | 282.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 45c | 280.05$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 17c | 271$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…c1b3backed No | 76c | 263.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3780…6429backed Yes | 9c | 205$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 32c | 199.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…61f4backed Yes | 8c | 197.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…232fbacked No | 63c | 189.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 28c | 180.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 20c | 171$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 6c | 161$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…0f36backed No | 44c | 146.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…4b5fbacked No | 75c | 139.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…11cebacked No | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…6175backed Yes | 16c | 127.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 27c | 126.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…8b05backed Yes | 16c | 124.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 9c | 118.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…5097backed No | 49c | 111.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 109.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 72c | 106.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed Yes | 28c | 104.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 103$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 57c | 102.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes | 43c | 94.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 77c | 89.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 16c | 86.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 31c | 83.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Yes | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 27c | 66.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 34c | 66.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…c89bbacked No | 78c | 63.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 53c | 60.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…3239backed No | 58c | 59.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 58.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 57c | 55.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e3…17e1backed Yes | 35c | 54.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 52c | 53.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…4563backed No | 73c | 51.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 21c | 50.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed No | 80c | 49.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 38c | 46.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…7d7dbacked Yes | 52c | 46.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…f599backed No | 78c | 43.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9446backed No | 72c | 40.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked No | 77c | 35.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…4fb3backed Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 60c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed No | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 50c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 45c | 27.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +65%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 72c | 26.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…a134backed Yes | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…2ee6backed No | 73c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…2a6dbacked No | 63c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed Yes | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 53c | 19.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 68c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…d9a6backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 75c | 14.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.