Music · resolved market
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f8b2b5c8715bac1ab686147075eddbaf900b6956c20d01b14a7fbfa80bee03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 0c | 15,177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked No | 0c | 12,318$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db8…211fbacked No | 6c | 3,570$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…5d1abacked No | 7c | 3,539$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…3591backed No | 7c | 3,524$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…3ad1backed No | 7c | 2,971$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…11d2backed No | 8c | 2,798$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…b556backed No | 8c | 2,587$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c9…c6f9backed No | 8c | 2,572$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…c7babacked No | 7c | 2,537$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…4823backed No | 5c | 2,457$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…5c37backed No | 8c | 2,035$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…2a18backed No | 8c | 1,959$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fd…f785backed No | 7c | 1,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…2ad0backed No | 7c | 1,792$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…0fe6backed No | 7c | 1,783$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…3757backed No | 8c | 1,772$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…1f84backed No | 8c | 1,746$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc2…3e11backed No | 8c | 1,738$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e6…a8adbacked No | 5c | 1,723$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 1,706$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ba…0d17backed No | 8c | 1,578$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…a88ebacked No | 8c | 1,519$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf0…176ebacked No | 8c | 1,518$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…8260backed No | 8c | 1,473$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…a4a8backed No | 5c | 1,465$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…b25bbacked No | 8c | 1,457$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…49e8backed No | 8c | 1,453$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…4a9dbacked No | 8c | 1,440$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…97cebacked No | 8c | 1,418$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…e0f8backed No | 5c | 1,405$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a69…05e5backed No | 7c | 1,389$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…ea3bbacked No | 8c | 1,369$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…ce7abacked No | 8c | 1,307$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…5e61backed No | 8c | 1,291$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…9048backed No | 7c | 1,283$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44a…d611backed No | 7c | 1,281$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…fd4fbacked No | 7c | 1,264$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…7a5fbacked No | 6c | 1,262$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…5a7bbacked No | 6c | 1,237$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…4292backed No | 6c | 1,208$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…f9d0backed No | 4c | 1,200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…0ed2backed No | 8c | 1,187$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…9deabacked No | 7c | 1,168$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…e011backed No | 6c | 1,163$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…b0bbbacked No | 8c | 1,152$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…957fbacked No | 8c | 1,142$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…6fb9backed No | 7c | 1,127$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…c5ecbacked No | 10c | 1,092$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…cdf6backed No | 5c | 1,078$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…e5dfbacked No | 6c | 1,069$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…ea43backed No | 7c | 1,046$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…d981backed No | 10c | 1,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca54…8f1fbacked No | 10c | 1,039$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 6c | 1,034$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…a88cbacked No | 7c | 1,033$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…fc3cbacked No | 6c | 1,014$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ab…f3f7backed No | 7c | 1,011$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…515bbacked No | 7c | 1,009$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…cd4cbacked No | 7c | 1,006$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3220…f613backed No | 7c | 1,002$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…fb07backed No | 8c | 990$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…6df6backed No | 8c | 983$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…8fb8backed No | 6c | 976$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d2…b14cbacked No | 7c | 975$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…438fbacked No | 8c | 967$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…257fbacked No | 7c | 966$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…6cb7backed No | 2c | 960$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…12d9backed No | 7c | 956$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…8730backed No | 8c | 945$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…73febacked No | 8c | 944$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ef…0ddcbacked No | 7c | 943$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…7925backed No | 10c | 934$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…157fbacked No | 7c | 931$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…0f2dbacked No | 8c | 927$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…9cebbacked No | 6c | 925$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…2808backed No | 7c | 924$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…e9cabacked No | 8c | 923$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…6657backed No | 5c | 915$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…d9f3backed No | 8c | 913$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…cbf8backed No | 8c | 910$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50a…774ebacked No | 7c | 895$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e5f7backed No | 8c | 891$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…8fa7backed No | 5c | 877$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4797…59d7backed No | 10c | 869$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…1223backed No | 10c | 856$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…5f56backed No | 8c | 854$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…be9abacked No | 6c | 846$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…819dbacked No | 7c | 845$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…6a88backed No | 5c | 844$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d98…642abacked No | 10c | 843$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…c022backed No | 8c | 836$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…af5ebacked No | 5c | 836$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 833.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…032fbacked No | 8c | 822$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…246cbacked No | 10c | 817$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…5ff1backed No | 6c | 813$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…ab84backed No | 7c | 813$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…1ab6backed No | 7c | 804$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.