Music · resolved market
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e5d14b854b289d5220ed7baac137036dd6babfdaab8404bb9a54afa9d68e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 66c | 21,526$14,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,229.91 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 41c | 16,664$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,772.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 37c | 10,671$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.99 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Yes | 28c | 6,076$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 42c | 4,228$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.61 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 58c | 3,863$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked No | 60c | 2,692$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…6350backed Yes | 35c | 1,531$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed No | 71c | 1,404$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 69c | 1,279$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 69c | 1,100$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 69c | 1,011$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.46 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 753.57$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…2ce1backed Yes | 31c | 750$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 29c | 748.52$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 31c | 730.14$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Yes | 40c | 710.36$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 63c | 660.06$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 38c | 653.17$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 33c | 640.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 78c | 640$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 22c | 558$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed No | 78c | 558$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 32c | 543.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 78c | 541.71$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b3…4779backed Yes | 31c | 536.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 31c | 529$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 31c | 528$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 60c | 526.53$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed No | 69c | 510$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…ccc1backed No | 79c | 509.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 71c | 503.64$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…fc31backed No | 69c | 426.3$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed No | 62c | 420.72$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 58c | 389.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed Yes | 28c | 381$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 70c | 378.87$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 38c | 364.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 28c | 355.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Yes | 22c | 344$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 44c | 326.51$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…23a7backed Yes | 25c | 307.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 22c | 296$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 62c | 290$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Yes | 32c | 283$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 276$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6f…9b55backed No | 72c | 266.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 64c | 250$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 47c | 242.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 70c | 230.91$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 228.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 36c | 228.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 69c | 227$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 39c | 224.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…775bbacked Yes | 53c | 224.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…bdcfbacked Yes | 31c | 224.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 61c | 219.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed Yes | 27c | 217.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 33c | 210.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…dec4backed No | 66c | 209.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 68c | 179.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 63c | 176$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked No | 61c | 175.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 36c | 175.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 28c | 165$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked No | 61c | 163.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3780…6429backed Yes | 31c | 162$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 73c | 161.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 34c | 154.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…3edfbacked No | 67c | 151.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…dfc1backed No | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…0432backed No | 75c | 146.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…2e34backed No | 70c | 143.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 68c | 134.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed No | 62c | 134$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 47c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f4a2backed No | 72c | 129.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 59c | 119.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 78c | 115$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 47c | 106.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 31c | 100.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…578fbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.