Music · resolved market
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ccff21ae74e0063e875fd7abe769554bee173d89f129951070b0ac422f968e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 70c | 4,308$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed No | 30c | 2,900$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 29c | 2,365$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.51 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 38c | 2,083$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 29c | 1,872$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.51 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 28c | 1,505$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.59 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 29c | 1,288$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.02 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 31c | 1,200$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.69 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 29c | 1,178$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 58c | 857.94$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 31c | 844.82$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.37 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Yes | 66c | 761.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Yes | 70c | 735.31$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 29c | 730.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 70c | 725$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 36c | 638.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Yes | 71c | 633.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…51f6backed Yes | 67c | 584.36$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 32c | 509.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 29c | 496.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 68c | 481.53$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…f3a3backed Yes | 71c | 422.66$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 30c | 400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Yes | 65c | 387$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 35c | 387$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 77c | 380.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 27c | 361.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 31c | 299.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…ee1cbacked Yes | 72c | 265.83$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…9719backed Yes | 72c | 264.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 73c | 263.13$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 26c | 257.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 69c | 253.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 70c | 242.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 55c | 230.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 71c | 226.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 30c | 225.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 68c | 214$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 70c | 206.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…1aeabacked No | 30c | 205$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c4…aa2ebacked Yes | 74c | 189.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 25c | 182.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 73c | 172.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…55a2backed Yes | 72c | 168.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 36c | 168.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…b20fbacked No | 37c | 163.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 62c | 163.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Yes | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…0c41backed Yes | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…a0dfbacked Yes | 69c | 147.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed Yes | 68c | 146.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf364…7d5ebacked Yes | 72c | 139.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…15f7backed Yes | 70c | 139.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed Yes | 61c | 134.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…c6e2backed No | 38c | 132.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…61f4backed Yes | 69c | 130.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735e…6805backed No | 38c | 129.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked No | 34c | 127.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked No | 32c | 126.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 70c | 124.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 29c | 112.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 27c | 112.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 31c | 108.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…e602backed Yes | 71c | 107$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…aaaabacked Yes | 67c | 102.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…11cebacked Yes | 68c | 101.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…652bbacked No | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd488…7393backed Yes | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…bafbbacked Yes | 72c | 97.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 68c | 92.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…da1fbacked Yes | 73c | 91.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 87.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked No | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e3…17e1backed Yes | 67c | 82.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 65c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f4a2backed Yes | 72c | 76.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 30c | 73.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 27c | 72.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…0ac6backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…42c4backed Yes | 71c | 67.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…35c1backed No | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 54.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked No | 37c | 53.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…f896backed Yes | 68c | 52.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 43c | 51.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.