Music · resolved market
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36b2227bbdc6a644e1174c77592c686d1f040f22a691e06e24e4002371394e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9ad…89e8backed No | 0c | 10,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 34c | 2,295$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.77 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 51c | 1,943$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.91 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 67c | 1,281$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.13 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed No | 56c | 1,003$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…d12fbacked No | 76c | 977.94$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 36c | 967.58$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.21 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 913.02$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 25c | 880.44$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 45c | 687.88$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 34c | 588$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 38c | 583$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 73c | 575.28$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.37 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 21c | 556.1$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.04 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 27c | 553.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 33c | 540.1$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…a002backed Yes | 34c | 526$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +590.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 28c | 494.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…97c0backed Yes | 73c | 485.56$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 67c | 400$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 66c | 394.9$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.05 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…9b5abacked No | 62c | 390.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.29 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 26c | 386.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 34c | 385.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.86 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed No | 66c | 385$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 66c | 383$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked No | 66c | 346$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 70c | 320.38$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 68c | 302.25$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked No | 66c | 302$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 58c | 289.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 62c | 234$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed No | 79c | 230$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed No | 62c | 221$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 79c | 219.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 67c | 204.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 79c | 200.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3780…6429backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 68c | 199.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 27c | 198.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 65c | 193.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Yes | 23c | 172.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 29c | 171.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 67c | 169.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 35c | 168.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…0068backed No | 72c | 165.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.47per pick | 60cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…4b5fbacked No | 67c | 154.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…78ffbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked No | 62c | 128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…c9e7backed No | 80c | 125.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 54c | 123.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 36c | 123$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 62c | 115.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 33c | 112.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 24c | 111.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…19debacked Yes | 38c | 109.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 31c | 109.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 69c | 103$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 70c | 101.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…c793backed Yes | 35c | 86.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 31c | 82.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…61f4backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed No | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 35c | 72.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e7…fd3ebacked Yes | 34c | 67.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 22c | 63.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 62c | 55.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 55.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 22c | 53.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 69c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…1688backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1,421.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…b73fbacked No | 71c | 49.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…df35backed Yes | 34c | 48.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 44.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 74c | 40.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 31c | 39.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc945…69d3backed Yes | 32c | 37.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 29c | 34.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…e621backed Yes | 31c | 32.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 32.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…be06backed Yes | 32c | 31.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…7b44backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.