TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2c0…c793

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 65 out of 100; worst Movies at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4269%29 W · 13 L+8.9wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
NFL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+327.4%+$163.68
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$125.71
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$160.04
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$50.56
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+135.7%+$94.99
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$158.33
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+65.4%+$130.78
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+63.9%+$14.4
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+211.6%+$190.42
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+41.9%+$20.94
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.6%+$25.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$59.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.