Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7df9a7d06d241dc43910808e05c6ae06b8e70b17aa17b4f92fa7dadfa4d4c7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $136,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,506 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc974…f0abbacked Yes	5c	17,636$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.9	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes	4c	6,430$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.62	70	21.4%15 W · 55 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bff…0f03backed Yes	7c	5,535$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.2	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9747…d088backed Yes	0c	5,333$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	78c	2,510$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.29	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	2c	2,407$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.01	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	2,034$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ab…d1b2backed Yes	45c	2,015$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,935$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.57	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b3…8828backed Yes	29c	1,712$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.2	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8904…80a3backed No	55c	1,642$903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.95	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes	19c	1,485$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.51	141	41.8%59 W · 82 L	+8.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	1,354$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.34	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…400cbacked Yes	15c	1,293$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.75	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	1,117$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	2c	1,112$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.28	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	-20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	1,050$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Yes	24c	999.98$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	130	23.8%31 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	3c	946.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	19cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes	23c	899.89$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.98	238	41.2%98 W · 140 L	+25.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	4c	826.55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.47	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	4c	811.37$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.3	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed No	67c	746.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.09	40	72.5%29 W · 11 L	+8.1wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe353…a4e3backed No	68c	700$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	12	25%3 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…ebb5backed No	76c	657.89$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	4c	611$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.19	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No	61c	596.3$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.65	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5202…7975backed Yes	4c	521.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a22…97d6backed No	77c	505.02$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed Yes	24c	481$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.44	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes	3c	464.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-69%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	460.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed No	76c	379$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.96	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+113.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x797a…7924backed Yes	19c	369.79$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.26	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed Yes	24c	329$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b1…23e6backed Yes	34c	300.6$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.95	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18fc…045bbacked Yes	30c	288.66$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaa5…888fbacked No	78c	286.36$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8401…a498backed No	76c	270$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed No	62c	268$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.84	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No	76c	250$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf584…803cbacked Yes	40c	242.86$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.14	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2193…1427backed Yes	13c	233.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-66%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	38c	224$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	54cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf0f…107abacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	15c	197.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.74	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6360…787ebacked Yes	17c	172.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…9c76backed Yes	24c	171$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6a…becebacked Yes	23c	169.61$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7b…de1dbacked Yes	12c	167.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No	62c	165$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes	38c	158$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.04	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed Yes	27c	157$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked No	70c	157$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.1	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b93…c068backed Yes	23c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed No	76c	148$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.52	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…fd3bbacked No	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…9810backed No	78c	130$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c5…dcb1backed No	73c	130$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	29c	129.34$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.06	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes	24c	127$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.48	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…9509backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed No	62c	118$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.84	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-39%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1302…71fabacked No	61c	109.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.9	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	56c	109.2$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.87	254	22%56 W · 198 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…c793backed No	76c	105.26$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.26	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fac…515bbacked Yes	18c	101.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01a…8512backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes	38c	98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.24	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed No	76c	93$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.32	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+90.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc7…a728backed Yes	23c	85.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	24c	84.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed Yes	27c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	26c	77.95$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	204	22.1%45 W · 159 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2eaf…04b6backed Yes	33c	76.85$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes	30c	75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed No	76c	63.93$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.34	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe63…49d0backed Yes	25c	63.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8e…720fbacked Yes	17c	62.29$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3af9…2cdbbacked No	73c	61$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.47	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	54cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…14c3backed No	71c	60$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.7	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19f…f745backed No	69c	58.19$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.19	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	23c	53.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No	73c	50.23$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	42	73.8%31 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd83b…58c6backed No	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed No	76c	48$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes	30c	47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed Yes	38c	46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked No	73c	46$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ee…421bbacked No	69c	45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.43per pick	63cpaid	-71%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b1c…5ccabacked No	68c	45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked No	62c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a8…a9d3backed No	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?this page
Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes won
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event