NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40c7aeec6181070cdd9bef07355ff33fa21292998a18d8420a16f909920f7f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Cowboys, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,344,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,760,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,344,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 726 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Commanders | 21c | 1,271,016$266,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,913.36 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cowboys | 80c | 318,949$253,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,989.8 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Cowboys | 79c | 253,111$199,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,153.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Commanders | 10c | 240,714$23,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,352.44 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…72ebbacked Cowboys | 79c | 228,476$180,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,980.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 79c | 213,100$168,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,751 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Commanders | 21c | 191,317$40,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,176.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Commanders | 20c | 155,211$31,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,042.25 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Commanders | 20c | 143,230$28,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,539.93 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 17c | 136,299$23,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,690.49 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cowboys | 79c | 121,907$96,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,819.46 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Cowboys | 80c | 102,170$81,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,750 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Commanders | 20c | 100,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Commanders | 18c | 99,594$17,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,927.01 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cowboys | 79c | 88,272$69,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,473.27 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Commanders | 20c | 60,997$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,200.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cowboys | 79c | 60,000$47,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9720backed Commanders | 8c | 58,926$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Cowboys | 80c | 56,924$45,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,384.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Commanders | 11c | 40,486$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.37 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Commanders | 14c | 34,537$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.44 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cowboys | 80c | 31,250$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Cowboys | 79c | 28,286$22,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Commanders | 8c | 24,390$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.24 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Cowboys | 79c | 24,072$19,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…0a52backed Commanders | 20c | 22,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cowboys | 75c | 20,740$15,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.66 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Cowboys | 80c | 20,201$16,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.18 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Commanders | 23c | 19,565$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Commanders | 21c | 19,238$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Commanders | 10c | 16,929$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.81 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Commanders | 12c | 16,722$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.45 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Commanders | 13c | 14,797$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Commanders | 12c | 13,983$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.38 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Commanders | 14c | 13,933$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.41 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Commanders | 18c | 13,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Cowboys | 79c | 12,500$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c2d9backed Commanders | 20c | 12,250$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Commanders | 21c | 12,186$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Commanders | 11c | 11,973$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.98 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Commanders | 20c | 10,495$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.18 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Cowboys | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Commanders | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Commanders | 27c | 10,000$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Cowboys | 75c | 9,999$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Cowboys | 78c | 9,618$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Commanders | 13c | 9,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 79c | 8,744$6,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.24 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys | 78c | 8,194$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.77 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 7c | 8,183$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.82 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cowboys | 79c | 7,782$6,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.97 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Commanders | 10c | 7,531$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.66 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Cowboys | 79c | 7,458$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Commanders | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Commanders | 22c | 6,267$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 78c | 6,134$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.13 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Commanders | 12c | 6,051$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Commanders | 7c | 5,848$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.4 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Cowboys | 79c | 5,630$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…284ebacked Commanders | 12c | 5,574$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Cowboys | 80c | 5,375$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…3143backed Commanders | 27c | 5,200$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Cowboys | 79c | 5,097$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.46 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Commanders | 21c | 5,050$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Commanders | 8c | 5,025$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed Cowboys | 73c | 5,022$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Commanders | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cowboys | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Cowboys | 78c | 4,981$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Cowboys | 79c | 4,800$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Cowboys | 79c | 4,782$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.34 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Commanders | 22c | 4,718$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…3b31backed Cowboys | 79c | 4,430$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys | 79c | 4,171$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.89 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3af…35c1backed Cowboys | 80c | 3,952$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Commanders | 13c | 3,818$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.84 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Cowboys | 79c | 3,796$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Commanders | 21c | 3,769$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.54 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cowboys | 76c | 3,694$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.16 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Cowboys | 77c | 3,679$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.39 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Commanders | 17c | 3,551$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.3 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Cowboys | 79c | 3,506$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Commanders | 26c | 3,000$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.79 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cowboys | 78c | 2,975$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.58 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Cowboys | 80c | 2,940$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Commanders | 26c | 2,892$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Commanders | 16c | 2,813$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…8e0bbacked Commanders | 20c | 2,780$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Commanders | 16c | 2,777$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.39 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Commanders | 14c | 2,768$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Commanders | 20c | 2,752$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.46 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Cowboys | 73c | 2,727$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.38 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…6901backed Cowboys | 80c | 2,700$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…a3b4backed Commanders | 21c | 2,700$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cowboys | 77c | 2,686$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Cowboys | 78c | 2,663$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.79 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Commanders | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…1909backed Commanders | 22c | 2,573$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Cowboys | 79c | 2,536$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Cowboys | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Commandersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.