NFL · resolved market
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795959b91758726962ce7b4ee6f8938c4165aa265716b66b35e146deb9eca491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Cowboys, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 45c | 10,375$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.67 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cowboys | 56c | 8,287$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.62 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Cowboys | 53c | 3,792$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.62 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Commanders | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cowboys | 60c | 1,389$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Commanders | 42c | 1,312$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.69 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Cowboys | 52c | 850$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Cowboys | 62c | 703.69$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 38c | 675.98$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.46 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Commanders | 44c | 636$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Cowboys | 64c | 589.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Commanders | 48c | 545.76$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.96 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Cowboys | 53c | 535$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Commanders | 35c | 509.52$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cowboys | 64c | 479$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Commanders | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Cowboys | 56c | 357.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Commanders | 40c | 346.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Commanders | 48c | 323.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Commanders | 42c | 305.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Cowboys | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cowboys | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Commanders | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Commanders | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cowboys | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Commanders | 37c | 240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Cowboys | 67c | 224.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Commanders | 39c | 218.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Commanders | 48c | 204.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Commanders | 35c | 196.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Commanders | 33c | 179.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Cowboys | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Commanders | 37c | 161$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Commanders | 35c | 145.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Commanders | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cowboys | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Commanders | 39c | 120.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Commanders | 38c | 118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Commanders | 36c | 113$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Commanders | 38c | 101$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Cowboys | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cowboys | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Commanders | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Cowboys | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Cowboys | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Commanders | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…034cbacked Cowboys | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Commanders | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…ae44backed Cowboys | 65c | 74.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Commanders | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Cowboys | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed Cowboys | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Cowboys | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Commanders | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Commanders | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Cowboys | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…79a8backed Cowboys | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Cowboys | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Commanders | 36c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Cowboys | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Commanders | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Commanders | 41c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Commanders | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Commanders | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Commanders | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…a2a1backed Cowboys | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Commanders | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Cowboys | 56c | 41.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Cowboys | 62c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Cowboys | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Cowboys | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Cowboys | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Commanders | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Cowboys | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Cowboys | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Cowboys | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Cowboys | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Cowboys | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Cowboys | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Cowboys | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Cowboys | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Cowboys | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Cowboys | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Cowboys | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Cowboys | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Cowboys | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Commanders | 44c | 27.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Cowboys | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Cowboys | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Cowboys | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9147backed Cowboys | 66c | 25.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Cowboys | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Cowboys | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Cowboys | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Cowboys | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Cowboys | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Cowboys | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Cowboys | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Cowboys | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys vs. CommandersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.