NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9df92560b3a8a1937e274015429e9282b0e4582ab97b7270ac83889cc27dce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Under | 43c | 19,200$8,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,285.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 57c | 15,555$8,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.65 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 10,766$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.79 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 41c | 10,177$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.76 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 43c | 4,833$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.09 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 3,104$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.85 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 2,820$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.8 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 2,708$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.6 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Under | 43c | 2,563$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.09 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 57c | 2,505$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Under | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 57c | 2,097$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.71 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 43c | 1,440$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 57c | 874.05$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.39 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 15c | 750$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over | 75c | 708.36$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 17c | 602.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 63c | 591$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 573.44$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 16c | 501.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 57c | 496.66$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 31c | 400.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 332$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 298$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Under | 45c | 285.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f74…558dbacked Over | 61c | 284.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 60c | 226.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 43c | 146.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 22c | 127.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d51…370dbacked Over | 59c | 117.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 42c | 98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Under | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 42c | 74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 15c | 71.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 56c | 71.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…4f13backed Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Under | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 57c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 39c | 50.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Over | 58c | 42.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe9abacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over | 59c | 36.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 58c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 30.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys vs. CommandersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.