TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa25…05e8backed Under43c19,200$8,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,285.712948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over57c15,555$8,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,688.6516955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c10,766$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.7983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under41c10,177$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.7617348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under43c4,833$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.099245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over56c3,104$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.8575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c2,820$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over56c2,708$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.61,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.585939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Under43c2,563$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.096339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over57c2,505$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.152360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1007464.9%48 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Over57c2,097$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.714641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Over57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6455766.7%38 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under43c1,440$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.220443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Over58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.484045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43014837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over57c874.05$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.3915446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under15c750$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.816238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Over75c708.36$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.413043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under17c602.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.762744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2587533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over63c591$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over79c573.44$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.450242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under16c501.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over57c496.66$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5634652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under31c400.04$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0160049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under14c332$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.488146.9%38 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over59c298$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1847348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Under45c285.51$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.482941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Over61c284.76$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Over57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.163158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014347.6%68 W · 75 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Over60c226.92$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.272532%8 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8753253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under13c190$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1948847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.251643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under43c146.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.872166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under22c127.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2432043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under42c126$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d51…370dbacked Over59c117.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under44c111$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under44c101$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.442045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4326857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4123447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under42c98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.853557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under44c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.091450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4de…b91ebacked Under45c84.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386547.7%31 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Under43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under42c74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.081931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under42c72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242564%16 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under15c71.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7114844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over56c71.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.386055%33 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under42c71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.821752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7774…4f13backed Over58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Over56c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under44c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over57c62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+69.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under43c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.811658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over58c59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under44c53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.321546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under39c50.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.719439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.513844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over57c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Over58c42.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.926050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.25100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Over56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2e…fe9abacked Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under43c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over59c36.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.854540%18 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0914951%76 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under42c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Over57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.485164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Over57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under44c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Over58c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.571266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Over56c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Over57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c30.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4916349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.917255.2%95 W · 77 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.