NFL · resolved market
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e93af0073dd027387ff951dc4f18ada13e2b10e564efd8d1fea5c2f846968f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Cowboys, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 47c | 79,287$37,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,891.37 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Commanders | 47c | 45,633$21,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,185.46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9720backed Cowboys | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 54c | 27,000$14,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,580 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys | 53c | 18,890$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Cowboys | 53c | 14,000$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cowboys | 54c | 11,325$6,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,062.57 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cowboys | 24c | 9,956$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.77 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Commanders | 46c | 9,252$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.17 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cowboys | 53c | 8,060$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.87 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Cowboys | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Commanders | 49c | 6,600$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.98 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cowboys | 52c | 5,927$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.64 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 53c | 5,150$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cowboys | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Cowboys | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Commanders | 46c | 2,267$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.21 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,129$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.62 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cowboys | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.15 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Commanders | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cowboys | 47c | 1,164$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.49 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Cowboys | 56c | 1,080$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.53 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 60c | 1,003$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Commanders | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Commanders | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf042…e5bcbacked Cowboys | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Cowboys | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Cowboys | 15c | 802.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Cowboys | 53c | 771.46$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.12 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cowboys | 52c | 768.69$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.17 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Cowboys | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cowboys | 49c | 691.77$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.97 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cowboys | 46c | 653.16$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.05 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Commanders | 47c | 632.17$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cowboys | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…5455backed Commanders | 44c | 454.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cowboys | 53c | 448$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Commanders | 45c | 410.17$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Commanders | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cowboys | 25c | 397$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…698bbacked Cowboys | 54c | 380$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…fb27backed Commanders | 45c | 379.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Commanders | 46c | 371$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cowboys | 51c | 368$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Cowboys | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked Cowboys | 55c | 325.84$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Commanders | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cowboys | 35c | 245$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Cowboys | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…06e1backed Cowboys | 55c | 242.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Cowboys | 49c | 204.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Commanders | 47c | 202.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cowboys | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Commanders | 48c | 189$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Cowboys | 52c | 184.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Cowboys | 53c | 168.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Commanders | 47c | 147$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Commanders | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Cowboys | 55c | 129.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Commanders | 46c | 124$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Commanders | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Cowboys | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…ee55backed Cowboys | 58c | 109.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3059…05fcbacked Cowboys | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Cowboys | 30c | 107.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Cowboys | 49c | 100.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Cowboys | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…94abbacked Commanders | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Commanders | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Commanders | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Cowboys | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…7483backed Cowboys | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Cowboys | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cowboys | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Cowboys | 55c | 74.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cowboys | 50c | 72.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cowboys | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Commanders | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Cowboys | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Commanders | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Commanders | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Commanders | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Cowboys | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cowboys | 25c | 55.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Commanders | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Cowboys | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Cowboys | 34c | 51.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Commanders | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Cowboys | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Cowboys | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Commanders | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Commanders | 48c | 45.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Commanders | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dd…1417backed Commanders | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Commanders | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…edbfbacked Commanders | 54c | 42.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Commanders | 76c | 41.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Commanders | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Commanders | 47c | 38.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys vs. CommandersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.