NFL · resolved market
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8bbe1934ebbbb3fdb0f9e7313c54b4ebdbb246bc81609e215351d9f988a5c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Cowboys, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cowboys | 62c | 33,374$20,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.12 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Commanders | 39c | 19,280$7,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,516.61 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cowboys | 61c | 18,124$11,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.28 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Commanders | 38c | 15,229$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.73 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Commanders | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Commanders | 39c | 11,590$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.21 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 39c | 5,966$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.02 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Cowboys | 57c | 5,304$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.19 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 62c | 5,005$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.99 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Cowboys | 62c | 4,997$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.9 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf042…e5bcbacked Cowboys | 61c | 4,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cowboys | 62c | 3,432$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.23 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Commanders | 38c | 3,363$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.44 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Commanders | 38c | 2,880$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 45c | 2,440$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.01 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Commanders | 38c | 2,308$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 43c | 2,207$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Commanders | 38c | 1,802$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.76 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cowboys | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.24 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Commanders | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 38c | 1,471$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.74 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Commanders | 38c | 1,453$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Cowboys | 61c | 1,402$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.64 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Cowboys | 72c | 1,300$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Cowboys | 55c | 1,274$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.21 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cowboys | 61c | 1,249$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.83 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Commanders | 41c | 1,181$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.06 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a2e7backed Commanders | 40c | 1,042$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Commanders | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Cowboys | 61c | 963.91$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.74 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cowboys | 61c | 939.18$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.16 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Cowboys | 54c | 917.1$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Commanders | 38c | 863$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.94 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Cowboys | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Cowboys | 65c | 579.59$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.59 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Cowboys | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cowboys | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Commanders | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Commanders | 39c | 424.05$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Cowboys | 60c | 324.05$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Cowboys | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cowboys | 59c | 289$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Cowboys | 67c | 273.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Commanders | 31c | 258.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Cowboys | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…c6dabacked Cowboys | 61c | 251$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cowboys | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Cowboys | 62c | 200.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Commanders | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Cowboys | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Cowboys | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Commanders | 39c | 178.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Cowboys | 69c | 173.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cowboys | 66c | 171.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Commanders | 38c | 171$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Cowboys | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…56aebacked Cowboys | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Cowboys | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Commanders | 40c | 148$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Commanders | 39c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…8052backed Cowboys | 55c | 127$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Commanders | 39c | 123$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Commanders | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Commanders | 41c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Commanders | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Commanders | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Commanders | 42c | 100.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Cowboys | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Commanders | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Cowboys | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Commanders | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Cowboys | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Commanders | 46c | 94.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cowboys | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Commanders | 45c | 87.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Commanders | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Cowboys | 58c | 85.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Commanders | 38c | 85.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Commanders | 39c | 84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Commanders | 41c | 80.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…1ea7backed Cowboys | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Commanders | 46c | 77.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…8a73backed Cowboys | 53c | 75.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Cowboys | 60c | 68.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…ceb0backed Commanders | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Commanders | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0945…4ec9backed Commanders | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Cowboys | 60c | 60.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Commanders | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Commanders | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Commanders | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Commanders | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Commanders | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Commanders | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Commanders | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Commanders | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Commanders | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Cowboys | 63c | 52.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Commanders | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Commanders | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys vs. CommandersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.