NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9653f7f53862055f49009cdf0158a8980bbf3db7f622599c1c9c47f03b0af027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 21,425$10,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,712.69 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 49c | 16,029$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.33 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 15,100$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 12,004$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.18 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…1eacbacked Over | 50c | 11,012$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.76 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 10,063$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.13 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 10,004$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.18 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Under | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,761$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.04 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Over | 50c | 4,613$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 51c | 4,026$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.1 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 3,372$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.35 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 48c | 1,243$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.64 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 991$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.5 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 929.96$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.28 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 738$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 490.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…a440backed Under | 51c | 480.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 431.37$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.69 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 387.6$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 51c | 249.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 61c | 244.9$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 59c | 230$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…dd9dbacked Over | 51c | 214$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…4e85backed Under | 50c | 214$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 52c | 209.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.71 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…cf55backed Over | 52c | 204$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over | 50c | 202.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 200.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…86a7backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…d3e4backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…7f51backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…aa74backed Under | 49c | 199$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…8288backed Over | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…e9f3backed Under | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 193.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Under | 51c | 190.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…db8bbacked Over | 51c | 188$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…08c0backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07f8backed Under | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…0e50backed Over | 50c | 138.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…d35bbacked Under | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 49c | 134.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…6219backed Over | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3b3cbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f3…5a90backed Over | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…42b3backed Under | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 49c | 60.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…5059backed Under | 52c | 57.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…4850backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Over | 78c | 29.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…ee46backed Under | 43c | 27.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 27.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys vs. CommandersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.