TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cowboysof Cowboys, Commanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0db…f44ebacked Cowboys72c1,979$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.8915252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Commanders28c1,768$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Commanders27c239$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Commanders27c224$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Commanders28c218$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0412842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Commanders27c132$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Commanders27c128$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.561650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Commanders27c125$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Commanders29c92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Commanders26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Commanders27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Commanders27c73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.712147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Commanders27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Cowboys73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Commanders29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Commanders27c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.361838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Commanders26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Cowboys72c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Commanders27c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Commanders27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Commanders27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Commanders27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Commanders27c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Cowboys73c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Cowboys71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Cowboys73c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Cowboys73c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Cowboys73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Cowboys73c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d2…dc9bbacked Cowboys73c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Cowboys73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Cowboys73c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.64560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Cowboys73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Cowboys74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Cowboys74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+58.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Cowboys73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Cowboys73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Cowboys73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Cowboys73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Cowboys73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Cowboys73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Cowboys73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Cowboys73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Cowboys73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Cowboys73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Cowboys73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed Cowboys73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Cowboys73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Cowboys71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Cowboys73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Cowboys74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Cowboys73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Cowboys73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Cowboys73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Cowboys71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc55…9f7cbacked Cowboys73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.94560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Cowboys73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Cowboys73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Cowboys73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Cowboys71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked Cowboys73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Cowboys73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Cowboys73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Cowboys72c18.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Cowboys74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Cowboys73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Cowboys73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Cowboys74c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891e…ea69backed Cowboys73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67de…1d9bbacked Cowboys73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Cowboys74c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Cowboys73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Cowboys73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Cowboys73c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc422…71d8backed Cowboys71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Cowboys74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Cowboys73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Cowboys73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Cowboys73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Cowboys71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Cowboys73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Cowboys73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick51cpaid+81.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed Cowboys73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4390…e842backed Cowboys73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.