NFL · resolved market
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a9feefc529e57e60f388d4b035ba9d77dfcf6defe9e4c34d487a479237af23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Cowboys, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 50c | 157,760$78,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,888.76 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Cowboys | 49c | 91,875$45,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,436.56 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Commanders | 51c | 52,222$26,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,588.78 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Cowboys | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Cowboys | 49c | 30,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Cowboys | 51c | 23,637$12,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,054.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Cowboys | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Cowboys | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 50c | 18,015$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.85 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Commanders | 49c | 13,005$6,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,632.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Cowboys | 50c | 12,350$6,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,175.13 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Commanders | 49c | 10,632$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Commanders | 50c | 10,149$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.03 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Cowboys | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Commanders | 50c | 10,000$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Commanders | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cowboys | 50c | 8,427$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.56 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…949bbacked Cowboys | 52c | 6,900$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Cowboys | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Commanders | 50c | 5,419$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.62 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Commanders | 51c | 4,941$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.18 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Commanders | 48c | 4,924$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.4 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 51c | 4,723$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.6 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 50c | 4,629$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.32 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Cowboys | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Cowboys | 52c | 3,850$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cowboys | 49c | 3,022$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.82 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cowboys | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cowboys | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Commanders | 51c | 2,996$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.08 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Commanders | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,394$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Commanders | 48c | 1,149$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.25 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Cowboys | 51c | 1,040$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Cowboys | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Commanders | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cowboys | 51c | 979.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…5b9cbacked Cowboys | 50c | 978.22$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Commanders | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Commanders | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Commanders | 49c | 934$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cowboys | 51c | 900$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cowboys | 49c | 743.01$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.28 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Cowboys | 51c | 706$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Commanders | 50c | 698.5$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.25 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Cowboys | 52c | 644.23$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cowboys | 51c | 634$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Cowboys | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Commanders | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Cowboys | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Commanders | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Commanders | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Cowboys | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Cowboys | 50c | 499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe5…2b7cbacked Cowboys | 51c | 480.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Cowboys | 51c | 464.66$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Commanders | 49c | 424.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Cowboys | 49c | 408.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Cowboys | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed Cowboys | 50c | 397.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Cowboys | 52c | 384.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Cowboys | 50c | 382.88$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Commanders | 51c | 378.76$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Commanders | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Cowboys | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Commanders | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Cowboys | 57c | 282.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Cowboys | 50c | 265$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Cowboys | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…06e1backed Cowboys | 52c | 244.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Commanders | 52c | 223.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Commanders | 50c | 220.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Cowboys | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e15…1afbbacked Commanders | 50c | 218$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…6adbbacked Cowboys | 51c | 218$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…d0c8backed Cowboys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Cowboys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Cowboys | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed Cowboys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Cowboys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Cowboys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Commanders | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Commanders | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Commanders | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…e164backed Cowboys | 52c | 197.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Cowboys | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Cowboys | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Commanders | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Commanders | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed Cowboys | 50c | 195.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Cowboys | 44c | 156.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Cowboys | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Commanders | 51c | 132.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Cowboys | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Cowboys | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…1b8fbacked Cowboys | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Cowboys | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Commanders | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)Cowboys won
- 1H Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Cowboys vs. CommandersCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineCowboys won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 25.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Commanders (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.