NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780408b161c548a5c66166ceda66e0d287ef60c2725c36acaeb0cb2bee1b3720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,711,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,172,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,711,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Ravens | 65c | 2,048,267$1,330,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330,037.1 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Patriots | 35c | 992,407$347,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645,064.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…cab2backed Patriots | 36c | 700,000$250,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449,999.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ravens | 64c | 643,913$411,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411,613.48 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Patriots | 36c | 575,258$204,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370,400.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Ravens | 64c | 562,348$359,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359,902.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Patriots | 36c | 398,572$142,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,086.07 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Patriots | 35c | 320,528$112,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,343.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ravens | 64c | 315,570$201,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,302.24 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 35c | 299,160$105,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,919.67 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Ravens | 65c | 281,155$182,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,751.77 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots | 41c | 179,176$73,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,840.48 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 40c | 150,572$59,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,611.68 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Patriots | 35c | 148,377$52,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,017.31 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Ravens | 63c | 140,384$88,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,441.96 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Patriots | 36c | 136,828$49,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,664 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Patriots | 35c | 128,609$45,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,595.58 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ravens | 52c | 124,533$64,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,733.43 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Patriots | 37c | 118,760$43,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,818.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ravens | 65c | 117,136$75,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,712.43 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Patriots | 38c | 108,886$40,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,886.52 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots | 42c | 107,372$45,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,774.36 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 68c | 104,409$70,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,869.54 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Patriots | 37c | 95,664$35,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,268.16 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens | 63c | 77,777$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.68 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Ravens | 64c | 67,823$43,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,073.72 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Patriots | 39c | 65,964$25,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,206.72 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Patriots | 41c | 64,297$26,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,895.58 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Patriots | 55c | 62,922$34,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,292.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Ravens | 63c | 60,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ravens | 63c | 60,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,799.8 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Ravens | 65c | 58,612$38,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,094.86 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…3fb9backed Ravens | 57c | 52,100$29,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,722.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Patriots | 38c | 50,731$19,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,435.33 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Patriots | 35c | 50,706$17,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,888.07 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Patriots | 34c | 45,597$15,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,094.02 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Patriots | 67c | 45,363$30,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,767.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Ravens | 65c | 42,762$27,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,795 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Patriots | 36c | 42,000$15,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,739.98 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Ravens | 63c | 41,516$26,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,212.63 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Patriots | 36c | 40,453$14,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,785.15 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ravens | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Patriots | 46c | 40,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 55c | 35,768$19,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,089.52 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Patriots | 36c | 30,194$11,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,180.84 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Patriots | 38c | 29,890$11,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,601.74 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Patriots | 59c | 28,758$17,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,713.44 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ravens | 66c | 28,072$18,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,595.19 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Patriots | 36c | 27,778$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,777.78 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Ravens | 56c | 27,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,119.97 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Ravens | 59c | 26,400$15,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,575.95 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 37c | 26,366$9,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,610.75 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Patriots | 37c | 26,084$9,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,432.78 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Ravens | 64c | 25,776$16,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,496.64 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Patriots | 55c | 21,694$11,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,765.91 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ravens | 27c | 20,310$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.88 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ravens | 61c | 20,286$12,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,406.68 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Patriots | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Ravens | 58c | 19,546$11,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,336.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Patriots | 28c | 18,173$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,169.93 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Ravens | 65c | 17,827$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Ravens | 59c | 16,197$9,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,496.29 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Ravens | 60c | 15,513$9,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,307.89 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Patriots | 38c | 15,018$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,282.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…ba3abacked Patriots | 35c | 14,734$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,594.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ravens | 56c | 14,398$8,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,104.62 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Patriots | 36c | 14,344$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,124.35 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Patriots | 36c | 14,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,960 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Patriots | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ravens | 63c | 12,800$8,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,102.07 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Patriots | 50c | 12,340$6,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Patriots | 28c | 12,267$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,792.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Patriots | 37c | 12,185$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,684.68 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Patriots | 41c | 12,064$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,061.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Patriots | 43c | 11,910$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,758.16 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Ravens | 66c | 10,481$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.27 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Patriots | 38c | 10,000$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Patriots | 27c | 10,000$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,330 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ravens | 22c | 9,643$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.4 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Patriots | 59c | 9,391$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.25 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Ravens | 64c | 9,101$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,824.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Patriots | 51c | 8,500$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.07 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Patriots | 44c | 8,392$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.21 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…1a24backed Patriots | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +73%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Ravens | 67c | 8,297$5,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,554 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Patriots | 35c | 8,203$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Patriots | 32c | 8,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Ravens | 74c | 7,764$5,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.71 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Ravens | 63c | 7,751$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Ravens | 58c | 7,633$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb582…85fbbacked Patriots | 39c | 7,607$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…a08dbacked Ravens | 60c | 7,562$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Ravens | 63c | 7,319$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,626.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…6989backed Patriots | 41c | 7,103$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Patriots | 40c | 7,066$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.01 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Patriots | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Patriots | 39c | 7,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Patriots | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Patriots | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Patriots | 50c | 6,910$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.86 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Ravensthis page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Patriots won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.