NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d6857aad864aeb0a8ee7aa26d08728d8cedcd57475744a0b224c4164c78b34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Ravens, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Patriots | 42c | 228,607$95,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,216.49 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ravens | 60c | 97,415$58,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,776.09 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ravens | 60c | 51,241$30,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,689.68 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Ravens | 54c | 42,697$23,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,024.69 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Patriots | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,600 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ravens | 59c | 35,965$21,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,219.42 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Ravens | 56c | 23,172$12,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,976.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ravens | 54c | 19,234$10,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,390.55 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Patriots | 46c | 12,169$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.94 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 39c | 10,003$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.77 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Ravens | 62c | 9,513$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.82 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Ravens | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ravens | 60c | 6,767$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.86 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ravens | 57c | 5,822$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.75 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Patriots | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ravens | 69c | 4,530$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.85 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Patriots | 39c | 3,741$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.93 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…6f8ebacked Ravens | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…efc3backed Patriots | 41c | 3,480$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Patriots | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Patriots | 41c | 3,000$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.7 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Patriots | 44c | 2,693$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Ravens | 53c | 2,308$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ravens | 61c | 2,010$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.7 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Patriots | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Ravens | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.98 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Ravens | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Patriots | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Ravens | 60c | 1,392$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.91 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Patriots | 40c | 1,200$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.97 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Ravens | 60c | 1,095$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Patriots | 39c | 997$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.17 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Patriots | 40c | 898.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked Patriots | 47c | 882.98$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ravens | 58c | 761.7$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Ravens | 56c | 710.59$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Ravens | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Patriots | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Patriots | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Patriots | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Patriots | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Patriots | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Patriots | 45c | 488.79$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Ravens | 57c | 465.97$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Patriots | 49c | 463.94$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Patriots | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Patriots | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Ravens | 43c | 383.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Ravens | 59c | 341.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…aa20backed Ravens | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Ravens | 61c | 322.95$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Patriots | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Patriots | 42c | 300$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Patriots | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Patriots | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Ravens | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ravens | 67c | 273.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Patriots | 42c | 234.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ravens | 57c | 225$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Ravens | 56c | 223.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Patriots | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…532fbacked Patriots | 47c | 220.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Patriots | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 37c | 194.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Patriots | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Patriots | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Ravens | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Patriots | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +11.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Ravens | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Patriots | 74c | 137.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Ravens | 60c | 137$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Patriots | 46c | 129.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Patriots | 42c | 127.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Patriots | 43c | 123.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Patriots | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Ravens | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Patriots | 42c | 109.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Patriots | 47c | 107.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Patriots | 47c | 103.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Ravens | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Patriots | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ravens | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Patriots | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…5058backed Ravens | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Patriots won
- Patriots vs. RavensPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.