NFL · resolved market
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a21ee0dd4ccda4d628ef4fdac657bd33d9cf3fccb49ad846f344ab156a319e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Ravens, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,559,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,589,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,559,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Ravens | 52c | 678,666$352,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352,906.54 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Patriots | 48c | 470,000$225,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,400 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Patriots | 48c | 188,247$90,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,988.64 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 48c | 123,861$60,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,820.28 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Patriots | 49c | 123,365$59,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,468.18 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Ravens | 52c | 121,534$62,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,784.75 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens | 50c | 99,599$49,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,799.5 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Patriots | 51c | 90,000$45,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,499.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Ravens | 49c | 83,857$41,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,090.16 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Ravens | 52c | 76,894$39,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,985 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ravens | 51c | 51,343$26,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,345.82 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Patriots | 48c | 41,600$19,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,632 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Ravens | 51c | 41,307$21,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,066.47 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ravens | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.9 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 48c | 35,091$16,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,180.41 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Patriots | 49c | 23,398$11,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,932.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 48c | 20,344$9,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,582.31 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Patriots | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.01 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Patriots | 50c | 17,000$8,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Ravens | 50c | 16,887$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Patriots | 49c | 16,423$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,375.75 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Patriots | 48c | 14,000$6,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ravens | 52c | 11,928$6,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,253.58 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Ravens | 51c | 10,122$5,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,123.66 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Patriots | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Patriots | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Patriots | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Patriots | 49c | 9,852$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.35 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ravens | 52c | 9,046$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.72 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots | 49c | 8,212$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.24 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Ravens | 53c | 8,070$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Patriots | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ravens | 45c | 6,803$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.26 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Patriots | 49c | 6,530$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.3 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ravens | 48c | 6,204$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.06 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Ravens | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Patriots | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Patriots | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Patriots | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Patriots | 49c | 5,018$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.01 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Patriots | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Patriots | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 48c | 4,632$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.56 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Patriots | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ravens | 47c | 3,552$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.65 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…89e4backed Patriots | 47c | 3,225$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.89 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Ravens | 52c | 2,523$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Patriots | 48c | 2,326$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.49 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Ravens | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Patriots | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Patriots | 48c | 2,000$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Patriots | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Patriots | 49c | 1,956$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.56 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Patriots | 50c | 1,800$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 41c | 1,800$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.97 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Patriots | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.43 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Ravens | 49c | 1,757$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Ravens | 40c | 1,689$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.73 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Patriots | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Patriots | 38c | 1,383$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.86 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Patriots | 49c | 1,377$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.43 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Patriots | 62c | 1,336$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Ravens | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Patriots | 48c | 1,175$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Ravens | 46c | 1,091$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.81 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…ba3abacked Patriots | 49c | 1,002$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Patriots | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Patriots | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Patriots | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Ravens | 51c | 915$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.65 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 49c | 907$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Patriots | 61c | 900.8$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Patriots | 50c | 887.6$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.8 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Patriots | 49c | 864.29$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Patriots | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Patriots | 50c | 828.88$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.76 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ravens | 48c | 729.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.05 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Patriots | 48c | 728.74$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.63 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Patriots | 70c | 632.98$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Patriots | 66c | 630.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Ravens | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Ravens | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Patriots | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe98…ce33backed Patriots | 52c | 568.91$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ravens | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Patriots | 48c | 533.12$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.22 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Patriots | 32c | 517.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.88 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Patriots | 49c | 508.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Patriots | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Patriots | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Patriots | 51c | 491.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ravens | 54c | 480.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ravens | 46c | 474$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.04 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…823cbacked Patriots | 48c | 470.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Patriots | 48c | 452.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ravens | 51c | 429$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ravens | 51c | 414.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c5…0ad1backed Ravens | 49c | 409.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Patriots | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Ravens | 55c | 401.16$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ravens (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Patriots won
- Patriots vs. RavensPatriots won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5Over won
- Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.