TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29f9…e310backed Under50c26,538$13,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,268.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f6…cf62backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c19,287$9,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,925.841,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de3…0321backed Under53c13,348$7,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,074.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c12,500$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.9983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c10,768$5,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.3619152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under52c5,684$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.5986547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c5,522$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.9656852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Under51c5,408$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.1619553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over48c4,268$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2383740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over48c3,500$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82019651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under53c2,831$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6614252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02022446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Over47c1,893$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.3211254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c1,600$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.4453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c1,357$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.0224957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c1,235$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.721,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c1,200$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60617251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Over48c999.91$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9512445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over47c937$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6126649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40013959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over48c710.98$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.7114154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Under54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37818744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over46c690.74$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37311750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over48c663.72$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.1335648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25017656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c480$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.659453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6720443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over48c408.48$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.415954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Under51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Under52c371.15$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936647%31 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c336$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7231450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed3…bffcbacked Under49c234.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c230.4$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.265048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.334355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over48c206.87$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5717648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over32c206.41$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9315353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085149%25 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over50c200.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048048.8%39 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10818745.5%85 W · 102 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46f5…a1d8backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9016360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Over53c129.09$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under49c100.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.945639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Under53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c0…26e2backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.