TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Rams, Seahawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,597,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,106,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,597,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,687 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b9c…7e44backed Seahawks60c1,168,270$696,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471,832.254057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Rams41c900,088$369,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369,929.971729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1af1…0f7bbacked Rams44c797,174$352,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,279.891070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Rams37c451,113$168,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168,669.386248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Rams42c383,133$160,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160,430.865154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Seahawks55c377,404$207,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169,831.997554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks58c352,335$204,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,279.8917454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rams33c345,744$112,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,827.8447738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Seahawks56c270,261$151,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,914.772161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rams32c265,899$85,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,733.1330043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Rams44c183,000$80,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,849.9516051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Seahawks66c177,555$117,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,406.34850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rams36c177,505$64,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,420.7773651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rams28c154,738$43,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,967.0916955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Rams44c150,000$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,999.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Rams44c149,597$65,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,822.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seahawks57c142,793$80,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,001.2447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Seahawks56c140,436$78,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,791.643348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Seahawks55c133,800$73,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,209.9612944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Rams44c131,821$58,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,001.2319553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Seahawks56c130,637$73,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,480.286459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Rams26c130,000$33,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,799.9911445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Seahawks55c126,869$69,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,513.943548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rams42c123,000$51,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,147.881968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Seahawks69c119,146$82,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,979.853070%21 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Rams47c105,279$48,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,958.424143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Seahawks73c103,108$75,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,573.7111643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Rams44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,0009359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks58c90,000$52,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,799.9923937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Rams45c88,889$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Seahawks56c86,475$48,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,935.934148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Rams45c82,156$36,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,9705648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks57c71,201$40,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,616.4216836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Seahawks69c71,071$49,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,900.9412748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rams44c68,346$30,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,072.2419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rams32c65,442$21,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,140.361,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rams43c64,055$27,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,255.711544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seahawks69c62,506$43,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,413.2723244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Seahawks56c62,254$34,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,391.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Rams45c60,064$27,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,02918650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Seahawks55c59,499$32,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,596.2430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e02…bfcebacked Rams35c58,377$20,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,408.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Rams15c57,073$8,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,836.225042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Seahawks67c54,768$36,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,845.243737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rams37c53,483$19,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,948.1420755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Seahawks56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rams44c46,722$20,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,557.8322450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Rams41c44,831$18,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,519.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Rams45c44,444$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Rams35c43,744$15,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,346.67825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Seahawks68c43,567$29,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,847.071154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Rams42c40,195$16,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,812.012030%6 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Rams42c40,169$17,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,033.2218156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Seahawks56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Seahawks56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Seahawks53c37,606$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,606.071968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked Rams34c37,573$12,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,862.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bba…12efbacked Rams28c37,544$10,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,696.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Seahawks57c36,500$20,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,759.983020%6 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Seahawks61c36,222$22,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,162.912661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Seahawks56c35,714$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,714.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Seahawks56c35,200$19,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,48816545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Seahawks60c35,000$21,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,9003366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Rams44c35,000$15,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,399.968428.6%24 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Seahawks65c33,472$21,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,719.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Seahawks74c32,927$24,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,445.111450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Seahawks76c32,893$25,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,888.456459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rams44c32,579$14,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,334.5514342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Rams58c32,074$18,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,603.162343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Rams38c30,500$11,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,66016860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Seahawks56c30,000$16,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3007464.9%48 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Rams35c30,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5003050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Seahawks79c29,852$23,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,337.6214926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rams43c28,724$12,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,287.4912144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed Rams44c27,165$11,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,952.630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Seahawks56c26,786$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,785.717255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Rams32c24,645$7,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,890.384852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Rams45c24,200$10,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,890250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd35…fee4backed Rams0c24,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Seahawks56c23,615$13,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,460.4922142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Rams44c23,488$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,350.3622349.8%111 W · 112 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Rams44c23,120$10,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,172.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rams44c20,990$9,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,235.3354451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Rams44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Rams44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Seahawks57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.8417348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x487b…eccbbacked Seahawks62c19,437$12,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,397.85887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rams44c18,251$8,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,040.449447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb3…67c9backed Seahawks56c17,850$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,853.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Seahawks62c17,200$10,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,475.932744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7172…4cf3backed Seahawks58c17,123$9,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,250.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Seahawks61c17,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6503351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Seahawks79c16,765$13,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Rams36c16,724$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Rams2c16,256$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.097736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe8…fc24backed Rams44c16,107$7,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,086.96128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Seahawks56c16,071$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,071.429657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Seahawks75c16,019$12,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,984.52785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Seahawks77c15,400$11,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.9833328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Seahawks57c15,000$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4506219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.