TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$391,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under53c121,332$63,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,869.4412055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over47c97,500$45,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,674.9427454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over47c64,743$30,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,436.2928447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over48c52,895$25,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,668.332680.8%21 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+37.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Under53c47,986$25,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,391.1716836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c41,919$21,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,797.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c32,640$17,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,299.2424957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under54c20,887$11,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,195.015141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6001060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.9835848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Over47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.318140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over48c9,635$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,010.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,77024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over46c8,179$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.7737350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c8,170$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,248.456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3413…2657backed Under54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3201513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over47c6,767$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.511450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over48c5,028$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.1322142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.672661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under53c4,098$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.949442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c4,087$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.61,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c4,002$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.2154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over47c3,877$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Over47c3,238$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over47c3,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6003847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.977152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c2,817$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.019447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001492.9%13 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick60cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Over47c2,688$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.642740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682b…59d8backed Over48c2,397$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over47c2,167$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.55149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c2,120$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c2,089$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.1719152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Under54c2,037$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c2,025$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.734148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06017251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over47c1,964$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.833342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under54c1,854$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.922343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Over47c1,836$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.161323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Over47c1,781$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.931450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,670$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.420661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,436$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.1175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over47c1,383$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.983447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe796…7f5ebacked Over55c1,174$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.283724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49014151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5305947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53011946.2%55 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c974$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9639447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Under54c965.89$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.581553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over47c937.82$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.6719439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c933.24$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.621,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over47c908.51$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.511758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41613959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Over48c774.17$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.571735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over47c745.79$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.271540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over48c727.21$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.1513652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under54c661.15$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.461464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c639.55$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.565754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e44…686abacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3126663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under52c582.95$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9623647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under53c578.9$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.033046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over47c578.72$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.725054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Under53c526.42$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2795149%25 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under54c518.7$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9126648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under25c509.17$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.822532%8 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over47c431.91$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.911850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Under53c426.42$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2262821.4%6 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5320443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under53c425.52$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5319459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.414060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.417656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Over48c418.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6586…d5e0backed Under53c416$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20813641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20820555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x021f…120dbacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…11d4backed Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x901c…327bbacked Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c359.82$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.959855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Under53c347.17$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Under53c333$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.495343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over48c330$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.611859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over48c315.2$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.98552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1625100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15616957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over48c281.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3815851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c267.24$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.662638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under53c231.01$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4426649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Over46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.