TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

1H Spread: Seahawks (-0.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,796 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Rams54c40,799$22,031 inLost-$22,031.216860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Seahawks46c30,400$13,984 inWon+$16,416666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Seahawks46c6,463$2,973 inWon+$3,489.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Seahawks47c3,507$1,648 inWon+$1,858.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Seahawks46c3,000$1,380 inWon+$1,619.995754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rams53c2,557$1,353 inLost-$1,353.2775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rams54c1,279$687 inLost-$686.589855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Seahawks44c1,245$548 inWon+$696.512055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams53c1,120$594 inLost-$594.0827454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Seahawks47c1,000$470 inWon+$5302245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rams52c826.78$430 inLost-$429.931968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rams53c500$265 inLost-$26559453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Seahawks46c447.83$206 inWon+$241.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Seahawks48c416.67$200 inWon+$216.6720443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Seahawks47c361.47$170 inWon+$191.585350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Seahawks46c260.59$120 inWon+$140.725957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf746…320fbacked Seahawks48c200$96 inWon+$1041752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Seahawks47c127.3$60 inWon+$67.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rams53c113$60 inLost-$59.8913756.2%77 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Seahawks47c109.99$52 inWon+$58.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Seahawks46c108.7$50 inWon+$58.71080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+78.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Rams53c100$53 inLost-$5312842.2%54 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…413dbacked Seahawks48c100$48 inWon+$52650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seahawks44c100$44 inWon+$5615952.2%83 W · 76 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Rams53c56$30 inLost-$29.6819954.8%109 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8758…add7backed Seahawks47c56$26 inWon+$29.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Seahawks46c53$24 inWon+$28.623246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Rams54c50$27 inLost-$273129%9 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Seahawks47c49.94$23 inWon+$26.471050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Seahawks47c46$22 inWon+$24.385141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Seahawks46c45.44$21 inWon+$24.543619.4%7 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-66.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rams53c43.99$23 inLost-$23.3226649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Seahawks46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Seahawks47c40.07$19 inWon+$21.232437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Seahawks46c36.04$17 inWon+$19.466432.8%21 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Seahawks45c33.34$15 inWon+$18.34911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-75.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02b6…8078backed Seahawks46c24$11 inWon+$12.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Rams53c23.74$13 inLost-$12.583658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.