TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ramsof Seahawks, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,686 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f10…76b3backed Rams67c10,000$6,703 inWon+$3,297.021729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Seahawks29c8,004$2,348 inLost-$2,347.8612748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seahawks33c4,085$1,358 inLost-$1,357.9350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Seahawks38c1,356$517 inLost-$516.5122142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb376…f6a0backed Seahawks50c1,056$528 inLost-$527.776647%31 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rams48c1,013$483 inWon+$529.3512055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Seahawks13c773.08$100 inLost-$1003641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Rams52c558$288 inWon+$269.645141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f82…d6abbacked Seahawks16c557.98$86 inLost-$86.59543.2%41 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Rams51c397.45$203 inWon+$194.756240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Seahawks49c386$190 inLost-$189.9612945%58 W · 71 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c54…da2cbacked Rams49c342.47$169 inWon+$173.741154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Rams59c299.2$176 inWon+$123.173056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c1…5140backed Rams65c297.42$193 inWon+$104.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Seahawks45c296$134 inLost-$134.067545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks41c223.73$92 inLost-$91.7373651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Rams51c210.42$107 inWon+$10313751.8%71 W · 66 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks33c175$58 inLost-$57.7560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed Rams79c160.13$126 inWon+$34.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…8aa2backed Seahawks18c122.92$22 inLost-$228045%36 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Seahawks52c114$59 inLost-$59.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…bcaebacked Rams49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Seahawks49c100$49 inLost-$493429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Seahawks31c96.29$30 inLost-$29.72133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8208…240abacked Seahawks18c80$14 inLost-$14.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d75…d730backed Seahawks36c55.56$20 inLost-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Seahawks35c54.22$19 inLost-$18.7116349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Seahawks47c50$24 inLost-$23.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Seahawks51c50$26 inLost-$25.53125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Rams62c50$31 inWon+$191145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Seahawks43c50$22 inLost-$21.55040%20 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28f…6d18backed Rams51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9be…3807backed Seahawks38c33.03$12 inLost-$12.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f3…d184backed Rams75c22.27$17 inWon+$5.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.