NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda0534f07600b5497a7d0358d1bd5b3fe770250d98be5b775433db0f710e4161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Rams, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rams | 44c | 6,062$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.32 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Seahawks | 53c | 4,600$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Rams | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Seahawks | 51c | 3,395$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.57 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Seahawks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Rams | 48c | 1,867$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…b465backed Seahawks | 63c | 1,060$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Seahawks | 1c | 1,009$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.35 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Rams | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Seahawks | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Seahawks | 50c | 715.16$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Rams | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rams | 47c | 640.9$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.22 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Rams | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba2…4fb7backed Seahawks | 52c | 570.1$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Seahawks | 53c | 566.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.53 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Seahawks | 51c | 490.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.38 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seahawks | 72c | 402.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Rams | 47c | 203.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rams | 43c | 201.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Seahawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rams | 48c | 179$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Seahawks | 52c | 157.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d4…8194backed Seahawks | 45c | 151$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Seahawks | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Rams | 48c | 128.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…add7backed Seahawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Seahawks | 51c | 98.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Rams | 49c | 87.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…5cacbacked Rams | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Seahawks | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Seahawks | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Rams | 49c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…3ce9backed Seahawks | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…2d97backed Rams | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Rams | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-0.5)Seahawks won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Davante Adams: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Davante Adams: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Davante Adams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5Over won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownKenneth Walker III won
- Kyren Williams: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Kyren Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5Under won
- Matthew Stafford: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Puka Nacua: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Puka Nacua: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5Under won
- Rams Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Rams Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Rams vs. SeahawksSeahawks won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 48.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 49.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 50.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 51.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 52.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 53.5Over won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 62.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 63.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 64.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 68.5Under won
- Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 71.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 14.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Spread: Rams (-2.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)Rams won
- Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)Rams won
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.