TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Seahawks40c100,856$40,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,189.412055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks41c65,915$27,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,630.7623937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Rams59c36,308$21,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,358.481729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams58c30,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,399.927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rams60c24,942$14,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,96453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Rams60c21,399$12,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,825.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rams60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0003033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Seahawks41c16,499$6,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,712.575141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rams60c15,789$9,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,473.447348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Rams59c13,795$8,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,139.256219.4%12 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rams58c13,410$7,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,816.7520661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Seahawks40c10,476$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,285.869754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Rams60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Rams58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8006759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams59c7,941$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.1483147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Seahawks50c7,121$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.068164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Seahawks41c7,055$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.672740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rams52c6,890$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.3873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Seahawks41c6,767$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.521450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Seahawks57c5,734$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4813271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+39.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rams59c5,553$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.2639447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Rams2c5,004$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.083053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Seahawks43c4,562$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.741855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Seahawks41c4,465$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.883253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Seahawks48c4,382$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.612748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rams60c4,348$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.724148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Rams59c4,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.0114035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Rams50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rams53c3,277$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.2675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Rams59c3,095$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.022931%9 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Seahawks40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8005754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Rams60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Rams50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Rams60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Rams59c2,973$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.7613641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Rams59c2,842$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6775358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Seahawks41c2,600$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5342263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Seahawks41c2,499$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.435848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Rams44c2,442$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.443737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Seahawks41c2,438$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.583444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Seahawks40c2,413$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.59855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rams59c2,307$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.141,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Rams42c2,100$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8825042%21 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rams51c2,015$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.9350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Seahawks41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Seahawks51c1,766$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.4922142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83bf…0ef2backed Seahawks41c1,555$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.61825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Seahawks41c1,437$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.591735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Seahawks60c1,248$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.367545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Rams57c1,240$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.761926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Seahawks41c1,221$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.396233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Seahawks62c1,193$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.2116254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bcc…de43backed Seahawks41c1,165$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rams60c1,071$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.5654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Rams34c1,013$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.322161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Rams50c1,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.046240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Seahawks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Rams60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Seahawks41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e4…a2e8backed Seahawks41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+126.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rams59c932$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.881,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Seahawks62c860.45$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c8…4d64backed Rams60c832.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93e…52bfbacked Rams61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rams59c800$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46859453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Rams44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526050%30 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Rams60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Rams59c779.79$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.487052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rams60c727$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.29447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Seahawks42c699.71$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.1113024.6%32 W · 98 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Seahawks41c684$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.561643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seahawks49c646.17$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.423850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Seahawks44c633.53$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.799136.3%33 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rams50c613.4$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5216349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Rams6c602.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3435648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Rams60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Rams61c545.97$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Rams60c520.6$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.361540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Rams51c515$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6519459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Seahawks41c508.05$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.752040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Seahawks40c505.38$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.733046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Rams57c499.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Rams59c474.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Seahawks44c457.33$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.892532%8 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rams59c425$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7555345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Rams60c420$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25214060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rams60c420$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25217656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Rams60c420$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25211758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Rams60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Seahawks43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281580%12 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+53.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rams60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Seahawks42c369.68$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.882250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Rams60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Rams60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19811859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Rams46c327.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc067…c575backed Seahawks42c324$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Seahawks42c321.97$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Seahawks38c300.94$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5819439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Rams60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Rams55c300$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16620757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.