TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bcc…de43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Dayana Yastremska vs Janice Tjenbacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,435.65
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Janice Tjenbacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$592.8
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.52
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$137.21
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$135.7
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+98%+$167.9
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$118.44
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+99%+$189.98
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$77.72
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$660.94
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,419
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,230.39
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$186.38
Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmicbacked Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$306.61
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$218.48
Australian Open Men's: Federico Cina vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$199.01
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Bernard Tomicbacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.6%+$121
Hobart International: Xinyu Wang vs Talia Gibsonbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.7%+$127.39
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$736.74
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$687.47
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$382.74
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$239.24
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$84.91
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$278.1
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$220.98
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.28
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$93.82
Spread: Rams (-11.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$330.72
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$713.7
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$128.33
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+91.5%+$100.68
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$398.73
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$454.99
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$674.54
All 7 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+208.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$110.08
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+334.8%+$65.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$118.4
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$72.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$259.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.