TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No24c16,289$3,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,877.4646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No53c10,936$5,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,796.123844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c6,595$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.5598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c3,915$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.7512055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes51c2,940$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.7411055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c2,460$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.9643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes54c1,301$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.474151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes49c1,250$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes57c838$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.484247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes69c808.7$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes49c782.41$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.9430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No9c770.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.76969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No48c767.19$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1928659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c675.63$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.9447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes51c671.51$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes50c578.26$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.13875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c534.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3833444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…0372backed Yes76c482.35$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Yes63c472$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…e12cbacked No53c466.04$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No40c444.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8422652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No8c414.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.19431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Yes48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No8c319.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.542343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaef2…5f34backed Yes50c300.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No48c299.96$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.986746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No35c287$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.592123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes74c276.36$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f9e…0395backed No48c268$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c35…afcebacked Yes52c263$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4049…a7e7backed Yes52c258$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc51…eb97backed No48c253$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Yes79c249.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a2…2d93backed Yes48c243.75$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbee6…dbe9backed Yes48c235.42$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes47c235$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+219.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa46e…8bacbacked Yes76c228.16$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No28c226.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0122852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bcc…de43backed Yes47c223.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Yes48c208.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.44650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+127.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes58c180$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+599.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed No50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes52c139.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.82040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes47c132.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.022240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c124.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0930536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes70c115.89$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2312156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes77c110.39$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.392832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes47c104.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.265945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5311351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked No21c95.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9512…e78abacked Yes52c88.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.541233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes47c84.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Yes73c68.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Yes50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No51c67.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.594238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes52c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3113540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No50c64.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.292433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No23c60.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.163345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d6…13f2backed Yes47c55.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes47c54.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes68c53.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.56344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes48c46.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.415832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No48c46.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.523574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c46.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8332453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f70…8c80backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes70c38.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes49c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8713933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153560%21 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Yes49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f56…9368backed Yes49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c8…bc51backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3da…566cbacked Yes69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.