Australian A League · resolved market
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a2910f9fc33ef4a767df01280ee85f8c2cb0cbbab371fc610ef65b1d8c6f0cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 4c | 7,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Yes | 17c | 1,754$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 15c | 1,086$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 909.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 594$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 543.09$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 2c | 528.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 474.57$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…5334backed Yes | 27c | 270.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Yes | 8c | 233.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 192$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 21c | 187.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 5c | 183.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 153.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2254backed No | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes | 26c | 137.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…c604backed No | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 78.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 59.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…4e55backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.