Space · resolved market
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88811fbea44c937676e4925b0a8b9ce3c9bf98797588f451328f79416b9b3b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe73e…af31backed Yes | 0c | 5,365$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 2c | 4,449$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Yes | 0c | 2,790$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 12c | 1,315$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 36c | 567$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 41c | 421.27$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 374.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed No | 52c | 373.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…c279backed Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…de43backed No | 58c | 260.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…74abbacked Yes | 47c | 258.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 60c | 249.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 15c | 236.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked No | 53c | 200.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…85bcbacked No | 50c | 193.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 62c | 130$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 39c | 123$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…3ab0backed No | 33c | 107$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…0310backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…e579backed No | 72c | 96.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 55c | 91.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…6c22backed Yes | 60c | 91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 59c | 79.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 38c | 79.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d9…9b09backed Yes | 30c | 77.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…3782backed No | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…11b2backed Yes | 60c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…b606backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…52f6backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…84abbacked No | 33c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0d…f99dbacked Yes | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 60c | 45.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…d542backed No | 33c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0f…8a55backed No | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…18c7backed No | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…2bf6backed Yes | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2e97backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…324abacked No | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…12e9backed Yes | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…2c10backed No | 32c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…c4a5backed No | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…ed09backed Yes | 46c | 34.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…8190backed No | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…9d47backed Yes | 68c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…09f4backed No | 40c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…a7f7backed No | 78c | 32.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…db32backed No | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…847abacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…396fbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8ad4backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…a316backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…b70abacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…cc97backed No | 36c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…01c9backed No | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3699…ae6bbacked No | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked Yes | 57c | 25.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…fbffbacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700e…7ee4backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…2674backed Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…3712backed Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…0367backed Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…aefebacked Yes | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eef…8d77backed No | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…526cbacked Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…c61abacked Yes | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…b7fcbacked Yes | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…426abacked Yes | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f5…fe2ebacked Yes | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…06d4backed Yes | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…f6e8backed Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…b439backed Yes | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…dabcbacked Yes | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…a838backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…4114backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…42f2backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…f377backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8883…5e83backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…be48backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…e0b1backed Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…658cbacked Yes | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…9fcfbacked Yes | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 5?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy survive re-entry?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before April?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March 15?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 reach space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 achieve a succesful splashdown?No won
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.