Space · resolved market
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf8ab830bcca035773dbcb56c37329b05cd174294f17384b9b8b5bed8b2dea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 72c | 7,644$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…1751backed Yes | 53c | 4,174$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…0f40backed Yes | 22c | 3,694$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 3,597$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 3,592$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.64 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 42c | 3,110$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Yes | 46c | 3,077$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…3dd4backed Yes | 5c | 3,054$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 18c | 3,031$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,534$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked No | 49c | 2,523$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 52c | 2,275$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked No | 12c | 2,233$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 68c | 2,083$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked No | 12c | 2,048$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 73c | 1,804$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.02 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 52c | 1,570$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Yes | 47c | 1,463$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 37c | 1,418$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…05c6backed Yes | 27c | 1,376$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked Yes | 48c | 964.85$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…ace9backed No | 75c | 847$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 35c | 829.51$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…5fdfbacked No | 52c | 814.32$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42e…7f0abacked No | 51c | 805$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 67c | 805$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5c…7a2dbacked Yes | 14c | 720$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 9c | 702.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 65c | 684$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…741bbacked Yes | 16c | 614.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…94acbacked Yes | 32c | 574.25$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 8c | 547.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 63c | 505$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed No | 74c | 482.13$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 452.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 64c | 428.15$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed Yes | 55c | 425.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8966backed Yes | 13c | 399$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…3cefbacked No | 54c | 372.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…88dabacked Yes | 27c | 372.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 48c | 360.11$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 353.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…bd1ebacked Yes | 76c | 329.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…00c8backed No | 43c | 308.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed No | 61c | 306.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…4fa1backed Yes | 49c | 303$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 301.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…e300backed Yes | 67c | 300.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed No | 38c | 266.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 77c | 265.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed Yes | 54c | 256.45$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed No | 63c | 228.53$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 19c | 225$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed Yes | 51c | 217.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 75c | 210$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…1910backed Yes | 73c | 206.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked No | 56c | 206.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…f194backed No | 28c | 202$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 29cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a80…a2e9backed Yes | 49c | 199$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 40c | 195.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 36c | 187.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…02eabacked No | 31c | 181.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 22c | 174.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 56c | 172.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 48c | 166.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…425fbacked Yes | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 32c | 150.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cf59backed Yes | 20c | 144$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed No | 28c | 136.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…180abacked Yes | 72c | 135$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…de5dbacked No | 27c | 130.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 117.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…560cbacked Yes | 49c | 117$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 64c | 115.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…8c0abacked No | 37c | 112$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…d2afbacked Yes | 62c | 109.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 34c | 104.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…29e9backed Yes | 64c | 102.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 68c | 100.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…6c3cbacked No | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…a79ebacked Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…b4abbacked Yes | 39c | 94.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7888…fab2backed Yes | 63c | 92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…7492backed Yes | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…9de7backed Yes | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…98cbbacked No | 37c | 89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 64c | 87.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…f744backed Yes | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d6…7d82backed No | 50c | 84.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +142%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…5789backed Yes | 59c | 83.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 73c | 81.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…d1bdbacked Yes | 63c | 73.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…dd1ebacked Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…e671backed No | 40c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy survive re-entry?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before April?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March 15?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 5?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 reach space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 achieve a succesful splashdown?No won
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.