Space · resolved market
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc8e619fc1a9b95f825d7884275c10ccd4159ef4471592e6a120e1f661952f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c00…003abacked No | 22c | 37,645$8,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc130…1bb6backed Yes | 78c | 37,645$29,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,281.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked No | 21c | 3,857$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…85bcbacked No | 25c | 3,273$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 76c | 3,173$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 13c | 2,522$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 22c | 2,054$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes | 78c | 1,781$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked No | 25c | 1,679$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked No | 24c | 1,614$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 74c | 1,302$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 74c | 1,115$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Yes | 77c | 1,091$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed No | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed No | 25c | 915.39$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 75c | 797.29$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 21c | 770$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8966backed Yes | 79c | 728.15$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 22c | 722.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…5731backed No | 28c | 704.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 75c | 608.16$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 530.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 24c | 500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 476.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed No | 21c | 439.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 75c | 429.72$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…7983backed No | 24c | 417.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1df6backed Yes | 71c | 401$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked Yes | 79c | 378.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 76c | 337.45$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 24c | 335.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 24c | 320.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 24c | 316.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked No | 23c | 315.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +186.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 75c | 310$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…57f8backed Yes | 79c | 297.74$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…cc95backed Yes | 79c | 274.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371f…b7e6backed Yes | 76c | 244$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…2d3fbacked Yes | 77c | 241.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed Yes | 76c | 238.65$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 78c | 229.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 221.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2e97backed No | 25c | 208.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 23c | 204.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 20c | 204.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 22c | 203.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…92b5backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…4fd6backed No | 24c | 197$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 78c | 196.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked No | 27c | 192$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…441fbacked No | 25c | 183.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…2794backed Yes | 79c | 171.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe640…70bebacked No | 28c | 161.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 22c | 157.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 21c | 151.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 78c | 150.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed Yes | 71c | 146.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…ddd3backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…9839backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…2f79backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…d0ecbacked No | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…dbd9backed Yes | 79c | 122.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…8a85backed Yes | 80c | 121.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…9c71backed No | 26c | 113.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 77c | 106.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…88c3backed Yes | 78c | 101.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…9b91backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 29cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 20c | 98.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d68dbacked Yes | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 21c | 93.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…c229backed Yes | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 19c | 88.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…dd7abacked No | 24c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked No | 24c | 85.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…d893backed Yes | 76c | 81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…564ebacked Yes | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…b6b4backed Yes | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…ef25backed Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 78c | 66.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 21c | 66.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc477…a4f4backed No | 26c | 65.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9eb…dd1dbacked Yes | 78c | 64.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…54e1backed Yes | 79c | 63.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…4bfdbacked Yes | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…bd58backed No | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 80c | 61.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…400bbacked No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…4b7cbacked Yes | 76c | 55.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy explode?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy survive re-entry?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before April?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March 15?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 5?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 reach space?Yes won
- Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 achieve a succesful splashdown?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.