TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cc0…cc95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$43.3
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+100%+$10.56
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.88
Lions vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$26.27
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$45
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+33.3%+$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Red Wingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Juventus beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+101.4%+$20.29
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.