Space · resolved market
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3215fe1bc438d6c75e827ed94ccb0d0deb1eb5be7e076d91dccd082e48566e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 1c | 33,574$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 4c | 10,283$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…b2e5backed Yes | 5c | 10,187$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 70c | 5,800$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked No | 70c | 3,775$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 7c | 3,423$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…cc60backed Yes | 5c | 3,180$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked No | 73c | 2,889$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 4c | 2,515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…8a39backed Yes | 4c | 2,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 2,075$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…e11fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,748$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…5d21backed Yes | 3c | 1,373$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8966backed No | 69c | 1,315$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 67c | 1,267$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…e700backed Yes | 2c | 1,092$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…da96backed Yes | 3c | 1,044$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…94f3backed Yes | 14c | 999.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 16c | 900$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 6c | 825.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 62c | 733.71$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6225backed Yes | 3c | 717.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…9d0cbacked Yes | 4c | 705.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bf…1848backed No | 32c | 697.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…4081backed Yes | 3c | 697.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 644.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 17c | 620$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 11c | 601.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc0…cc95backed Yes | 36c | 551.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed No | 37c | 543.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed Yes | 23c | 521.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…93e9backed Yes | 4c | 504.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…a8b6backed Yes | 36c | 495.67$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…57a3backed Yes | 4c | 482.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…7563backed Yes | 4c | 461.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 10c | 420.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…6788backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…04a8backed Yes | 3c | 399.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 5c | 355.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2c…0ecbbacked Yes | 8c | 331.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b47…d906backed Yes | 32c | 314.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…88c3backed Yes | 33c | 310.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 6c | 304$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed No | 65c | 295.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4fe9backed Yes | 14c | 290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…2ef5backed Yes | 16c | 255.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371f…b7e6backed Yes | 33c | 242.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…359dbacked Yes | 43c | 182.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 21c | 173.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d68dbacked No | 60c | 170.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c73cbacked No | 66c | 153.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked No | 75c | 140.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…7f1cbacked No | 70c | 134$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 28c | 129.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…5505backed Yes | 48c | 124.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 68c | 124.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d63cbacked No | 21c | 101.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 26cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…af91backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +180%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 91.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 39c | 78.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…eea1backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed No | 34c | 74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…ed00backed Yes | 47c | 63.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 24c | 61.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094c…e80abacked Yes | 27c | 54.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…8f91backed Yes | 41c | 51.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 75c | 41.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…b071backed Yes | 50c | 39.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…a826backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 32c | 37.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88c…3b25backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 36c | 33.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…7610backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…3cc8backed No | 70c | 24.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 73c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 20?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?Yes won
- Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.