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College Football · resolved market

Oklahoma vs. Navy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Navyof Oklahoma, Navy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Navy64c22,413$14,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,070.825657.1%32 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Oklahoma51c16,650$8,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,556.893842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Oklahoma80c10,482$8,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,350.28757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Navy23c9,340$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,180.42045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oklahoma77c8,501$6,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,545.7730949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Oklahoma18c8,127$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.420341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Oklahoma80c6,012$4,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,809.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Navy43c4,635$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.3219043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Navy25c3,647$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+110%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Oklahoma55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.857335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Navy53c3,378$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.322213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Navy46c3,301$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.333122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Navy22c3,269$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.983066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed Oklahoma76c3,262$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.072050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Navy49c2,668$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.931656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Oklahoma54c2,635$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.832832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Navy27c2,626$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Navy45c2,378$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.781947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Navy20c2,075$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+150%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Oklahoma56c1,911$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0703145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Oklahoma78c1,848$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.212850%14 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Navy25c1,766$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.171855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Oklahoma76c1,609$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Navy26c1,445$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.515520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Oklahoma52c1,432$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.168347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Navy35c1,400$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9108448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Navy48c1,385$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.31250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Oklahoma6c1,362$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.062370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5199…382bbacked Oklahoma61c1,272$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.184235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Oklahoma55c1,250$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…9594backed Navy46c1,250$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd187…2ce1backed Oklahoma71c1,243$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Navy44c1,188$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.551650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oklahoma1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oklahoma53c1,082$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.079843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Oklahoma51c1,073$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc618…bcc2backed Navy43c1,051$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Oklahoma51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Navy70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oklahoma56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9939847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb245…da75backed Oklahoma55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Oklahoma61c976.39$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.974129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Oklahoma57c964.91$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Oklahoma59c957.95$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.043542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Navy44c940.91$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e0…3eabbacked Oklahoma54c933.94$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83f…0917backed Navy44c886.66$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…618fbacked Oklahoma56c884.91$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+284.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa213…b945backed Navy46c882.57$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Oklahoma65c862.55$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.242040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Oklahoma71c811$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.813363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fe4…f348backed Navy14c807.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+78.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Navy79c756.45$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Oklahoma54c750$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oklahoma32c723.46$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6512816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Oklahoma14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Oklahoma75c680.79$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.593138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Oklahoma31c678.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Navy43c677.31$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.274445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Oklahoma61c673.72$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Oklahoma51c649.02$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc70…ad54backed Navy44c640.44$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f7…fea9backed Oklahoma56c640.44$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Navy50c614$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a63…a179backed Navy49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+144.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7731…56adbacked Navy50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Oklahoma55c568.67$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Navy13c540.31$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.398643%37 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Navy50c515.04$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.521258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…faf9backed Oklahoma57c508.77$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Navy9c500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b23…8278backed Oklahoma30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Navy45c466.67$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6714836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Oklahoma40c438.6$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Navy49c419.17$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+99%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Oklahoma77c417.59$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.143138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Oklahoma11c400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+100.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Navy80c374.31$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee74…442dbacked Oklahoma57c371.76$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.83850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Navy60c363.66$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd28…2e65backed Oklahoma52c361.8$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.241030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Oklahoma54c361.11$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c7f…9c99backed Oklahoma34c351.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0870%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Oklahoma52c349.46$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Navy24c346.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.931338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Navy50c346.13$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Navy30c339.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.872454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Navy37c307.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0815…b736backed Oklahoma71c304.88$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f30…1379backed Navy63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1113100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+262.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Navy25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+216.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf25d…f21cbacked Oklahoma72c297.55$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.24666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Navy30c295.94$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.675930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed Oklahoma36c279.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Navy47c268.68$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.685259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Oklahoma75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ad0…fcdbbacked Navy50c259.82$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Navy41c244$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Oklahoma57c232.28$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebf…83cebacked Navy45c230.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.