Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.43 on December 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb65958d7d8fa9c5aea26a043d12a3502af1363b37bf74a2550ab9ce10532edec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2d5…2884backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +5,352.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 54c | 15,217$8,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 56c | 7,445$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed No | 48c | 6,202$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 48c | 6,130$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…8986backed Yes | 37c | 6,104$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…a8b3backed Yes | 16c | 4,681$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…07afbacked Yes | 69c | 2,917$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 48c | 2,261$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.59 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 60c | 2,156$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 39c | 1,989$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 1,794$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9b…3f8ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,723$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…683cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,569$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 63c | 1,329$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…ee82backed Yes | 28c | 1,300$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,106$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed No | 53c | 1,103$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed Yes | 39c | 1,101$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,101$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 30c | 1,090$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…0a71backed Yes | 30c | 779.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 662.29$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes | 76c | 660.65$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…3ba4backed No | 73c | 654.91$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…72b6backed Yes | 44c | 636.41$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed Yes | 9c | 584.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…8bd3backed Yes | 60c | 539.07$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Yes | 38c | 535.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 53c | 527.29$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…dc31backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…3684backed No | 56c | 496.11$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…1951backed Yes | 73c | 495.94$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…cae8backed Yes | 51c | 486$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 28c | 448$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…67c7backed No | 72c | 441.24$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862c…70b8backed Yes | 26c | 440.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84f…3375backed Yes | 50c | 427.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9b2fbacked Yes | 73c | 408.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed No | 57c | 391$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…a42abacked Yes | 73c | 390.53$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed Yes | 40c | 390$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Yes | 13c | 388.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…ba4abacked Yes | 35c | 388.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed87…3686backed Yes | 38c | 381.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Yes | 6c | 376.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…7a42backed No | 45c | 365.63$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…6941backed Yes | 73c | 363$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…7754backed No | 21c | 339.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…a6d8backed Yes | 28c | 339.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…b435backed No | 38c | 335.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 56c | 317$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 26c | 309.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…6d07backed No | 36c | 301.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…ac10backed Yes | 4c | 300.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…68a4backed Yes | 68c | 294.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…62e0backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…922ebacked No | 35c | 289.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked Yes | 42c | 277.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +465.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 37c | 269$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…7957backed Yes | 74c | 261.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…7365backed Yes | 74c | 241.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…1910backed Yes | 43c | 233.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4805backed Yes | 43c | 231.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…204cbacked Yes | 64c | 224.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7162…9616backed No | 63c | 211.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…6143backed Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 74c | 207.3$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 28c | 202$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…466fbacked No | 59c | 201.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 36c | 201.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 70c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…fd31backed No | 73c | 195.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 40c | 195.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…c031backed No | 64c | 189.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…7d31backed No | 74c | 188.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd6…3739backed No | 37c | 188.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…afd6backed No | 75c | 186.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…d7ebbacked Yes | 25c | 181.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Yes | 27c | 174.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…550fbacked No | 75c | 169.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…ed3dbacked Yes | 46c | 168.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e1…4936backed No | 61c | 163.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…0d1cbacked Yes | 8c | 157.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…0994backed No | 62c | 156.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90f…b000backed No | 72c | 156.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…2ed8backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…0094backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…e00ebacked No | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…a149backed Yes | 56c | 144.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 70c | 143.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…3416backed No | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…07f6backed No | 74c | 141.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…4bdfbacked Yes | 68c | 141.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af7…c6f4backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…9818backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ba…6cbdbacked Yes | 76c | 140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…1966backed No | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.