TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fe9…e00e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2025, EST3066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+41%+$22.09
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+41%+$20.51
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Senators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+54%+$27
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+34%+$16.98
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50.05
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Avalanche vs. Sharksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+71%+$35.5
Bruins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+67%+$33.5
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+47.4%+$23.68
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST3060%18 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+27.1%+$13.57
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+25%+$12.5
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+28.6%+$14.3
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+25%+$12.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2024, EST2195.2%20 W · 1 L+5.1wins+0.24per pick71cpaid+35.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$26.91
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Colts vs. Giantsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Colts vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Steelers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Patriots vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Commanders vs. Saintsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Chiefs vs. Brownsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Bengals vs. Titansbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+61.3%+$30.65
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$17.5
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.2
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$195.71
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+60.3%+$121.9
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROICbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.31
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.75
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Team Falconsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+47.4%+$141.22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spiritbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs. Natus Vincerebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+152.3%+$28.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$350.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+39%+$41.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.