TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Nigma Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98b1…d855backed Nigma Galaxy32c21,699$6,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,955.3650%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Nigma Galaxy27c14,268$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.4514515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed BetBoom Team68c10,964$7,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed BetBoom Team73c10,835$7,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.535259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed BetBoom Team75c7,410$5,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.5612560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed BetBoom Team69c6,920$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.716050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked BetBoom Team48c6,630$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.0515852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684f…af41backed BetBoom Team60c5,473$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.821442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Nigma Galaxy39c5,032$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.348845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Nigma Galaxy43c4,352$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.2611839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea0f…23b1backed Nigma Galaxy25c4,325$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.251827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy57c3,679$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.2655751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked BetBoom Team71c3,554$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.63966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed BetBoom Team70c2,367$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.214252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed BetBoom Team67c2,151$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.7912755.1%70 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed BetBoom Team71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab9…a08dbacked Nigma Galaxy46c1,932$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.192433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Nigma Galaxy37c1,841$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked BetBoom Team68c1,697$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.8825348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team63c1,582$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.7464149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Nigma Galaxy28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Nigma Galaxy59c1,318$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.5511960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Nigma Galaxy37c1,293$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.348223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed BetBoom Team61c1,272$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.082536%9 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa675…b98dbacked BetBoom Team55c1,179$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.742268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5d…0774backed BetBoom Team71c1,179$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Nigma Galaxy38c1,142$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.03922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked BetBoom Team71c1,118$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.741631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Nigma Galaxy31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31013346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Nigma Galaxy44c900.31$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.0419246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Nigma Galaxy35c849.97$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.531553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Nigma Galaxy28c818.18$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.095743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Nigma Galaxy45c816.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked Nigma Galaxy52c808.14$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Nigma Galaxy38c799.97$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.7338653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nigma Galaxy29c773.43$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.158146.9%38 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed BetBoom Team66c757.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.451154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed BetBoom Team57c711.26$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2619743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed BetBoom Team71c699.42$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.42850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Nigma Galaxy30c699$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.759250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x696f…6f29backed Nigma Galaxy30c669$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked Nigma Galaxy29c654.6$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.832835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…5080backed BetBoom Team73c636.27$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69a7…05d3backed BetBoom Team49c634.63$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy31c599.96$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9980544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d55…aa1ebacked BetBoom Team73c592.48$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BetBoom Team69c589.98$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8961057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe9…e00ebacked Nigma Galaxy55c575$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked BetBoom Team71c565.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5629160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…e491backed BetBoom Team61c440.28$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-53.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Nigma Galaxy30c412.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.735928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Nigma Galaxy36c407$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.452740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffd…a1e5backed Nigma Galaxy37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482030%6 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked BetBoom Team66c380.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.939936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ed…e7a4backed BetBoom Team58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x231e…9297backed BetBoom Team69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.59100%9 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+120.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Nigma Galaxy29c317$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.931833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked BetBoom Team64c312.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed BetBoom Team42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1748037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a0…6dabbacked BetBoom Team62c290.32$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1338…f574backed Nigma Galaxy35c269.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.421154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Nigma Galaxy31c264.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…b538backed BetBoom Team45c260$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.091675%12 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Nigma Galaxy50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Nigma Galaxy41c244.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked BetBoom Team60c237.34$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9416232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Nigma Galaxy43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3557…4596backed BetBoom Team43c231.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.271957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Nigma Galaxy39c220$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8680742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc1…ca19backed Nigma Galaxy30c202.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed BetBoom Team39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227135.2%25 W · 46 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54af…a9efbacked BetBoom Team47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BetBoom Team66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6833850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…a62fbacked Nigma Galaxy13c198.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d9e…1e92backed BetBoom Team62c197.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.04666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed BetBoom Team54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1919756.9%112 W · 85 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Nigma Galaxy31c183.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Nigma Galaxy27c183.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…b717backed BetBoom Team66c180.42$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.14459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5fd…bbcebacked BetBoom Team70c177.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f87…1331backed Nigma Galaxy14c174.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c3…ba20backed Nigma Galaxy48c172.58$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.114047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ddd…6144backed Nigma Galaxy41c161.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.223360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed BetBoom Team60c159.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.028160.5%49 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e7…111dbacked Nigma Galaxy31c154.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…37b4backed BetBoom Team69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ed…3895backed BetBoom Team67c148.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661c…9539backed BetBoom Team72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x296f…1f8cbacked BetBoom Team73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1b…7552backed Nigma Galaxy37c134.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38e2…1372backed Nigma Galaxy49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca50…7aa5backed BetBoom Team43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eea…da80backed Nigma Galaxy22c115.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed BetBoom Team57c113.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed BetBoom Team63c112$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4424026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe53c…5a2dbacked Nigma Galaxy49c100.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.19911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-67.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Nigma Galaxy29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Nigma Galaxy56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6431…3542backed Nigma Galaxy25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.