NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x942e6592252e11bf733f08652a1177ac1b5f0c1e9c960d4cd370d3aeeaca164a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Commanders, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Saints | 22c | 17,021$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.11 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Saints | 0c | 16,516$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Saints | 22c | 9,357$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.5 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Saints | 1c | 6,606$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Commanders | 78c | 5,608$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.43 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Saints | 20c | 5,131$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.97 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Commanders | 78c | 5,042$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.51 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Saints | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.92 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Commanders | 78c | 4,744$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Saints | 23c | 3,570$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.8 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 1c | 3,202$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Saints | 24c | 3,145$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Commanders | 77c | 2,996$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.05 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Commanders | 78c | 2,650$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.05 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Commanders | 78c | 2,642$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.21 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Commanders | 79c | 2,286$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Commanders | 77c | 2,155$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Saints | 23c | 2,113$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Commanders | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Saints | 23c | 1,839$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.63 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Saints | 21c | 1,815$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Commanders | 78c | 1,769$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.24 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Saints | 12c | 1,618$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Commanders | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Commanders | 78c | 1,485$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Saints | 23c | 1,485$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Saints | 22c | 1,315$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.53 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Commanders | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Commanders | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders | 78c | 909$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…d60fbacked Commanders | 78c | 827.31$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Commanders | 78c | 770$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Saints | 23c | 550$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Saints | 23c | 536$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Saints | 23c | 516$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Commanders | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Commanders | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Saints | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Saints | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Saints | 4c | 475$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…8422backed Saints | 13c | 420$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…4cefbacked Saints | 24c | 381.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Saints | 24c | 338.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Saints | 22c | 332.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Commanders | 78c | 305.42$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Commanders | 78c | 304.59$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Commanders | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Commanders | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Commanders | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Commanders | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Commanders | 78c | 265.38$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…b1c7backed Commanders | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Saints | 16c | 250.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Commanders | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Commanders | 77c | 246.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Saints | 23c | 222$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…4270backed Commanders | 78c | 215.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Saints | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Saints | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Commanders | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…3368backed Saints | 11c | 199.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Saints | 19c | 199$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Commanders | 78c | 198.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Commanders | 78c | 193.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Commanders | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Saints | 23c | 180.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Saints | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Saints | 22c | 155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Commanders | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Commanders | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…1afcbacked Saints | 10c | 145.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ef…c25dbacked Saints | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…d389backed Saints | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Saints | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…3689backed Saints | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…3d80backed Commanders | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…7c59backed Commanders | 78c | 128.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…00e4backed Commanders | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Commanders | 75c | 124.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5a…2d96backed Commanders | 78c | 120.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…4764backed Saints | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Saints | 14c | 111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…f39bbacked Saints | 24c | 104.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Saints | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Commanders | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Commanders | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Commanders | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…a87fbacked Commanders | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Commanders | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Saints | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Saints | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…fd7ebacked Commanders | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Saints | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…14efbacked Saints | 24c | 84.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…7d33backed Saints | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Commanders | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Saints | 16c | 79.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…df2abacked Commanders | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Commanders | 76c | 72.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…115bbacked Commanders | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.